The Prediction Markets

LaLiga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$14K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

FC Barcelona 97.6%

Next is Atlético de Madrid at 92.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
FC Barcelona
97.6%
Polymarket 97.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Barcelona
Last price
97.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
95.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético de Madrid
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético de Madrid
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
92.1%
Polymarket 92.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 98.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
92.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.2¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Polymarket
Espanyol
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Santander
50.3%
Polymarket 50.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
50.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
50.1%
Polymarket 50.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Elche
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Real Betis
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$966
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletic Club
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Club
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano
18.7%
Polymarket 18.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 36.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $272 (2.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
18.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$272 (2.72x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
14.7%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 18.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $552 (5.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.1¢
Sell Yes
11.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$552 (5.52x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sevilla
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Coruña
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket
Levante
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Málaga
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$872
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FC Barcelona
  • Atlético de Madrid
  • Real Madrid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "LaLiga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League". FC Barcelona leads at 97.6%. Next is Atlético de Madrid at 92.5%. $14K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 LaLiga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 LaLiga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 LaLiga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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