The Prediction Markets

LaLiga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Brighton 42%

Next is Villarreal at 25.5%. The venues differ most on Getafe (Polymarket 5.5%, Kalshi 4.5%), a 1.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Brighton
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brighton
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Villarreal
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$562
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Betis
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Egnatia Rrogozhine
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egnatia Rrogozhine
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
IC Escaldes
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
IC Escaldes
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jablonec
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jablonec
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kauno
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kauno
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 45 more outcomes
Kuopion Palloseura
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kuopion Palloseura
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Riga FC
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Riga FC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Truidense
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Truidense
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Thun
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thun
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Uni Craiova
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uni Craiova
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Banja Luka
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Banja Luka
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Crvena Zvezda
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crvena Zvezda
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Espanyol
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iberia
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iberia
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kairat
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kairat
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Atalanta
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$781
Trade this on Kalshi
Athletic Club
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Club
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Braga
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Braga
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Levante
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$540
Trade this on Polymarket
Freiburg
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Monaco
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monaco
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Kalshi
Brann
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brann
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trabzonspor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trabzonspor
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Copenhagen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Copenhagen
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Panathinaikos
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panathinaikos
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Kalshi
Racing Santander
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$466
Trade this on Polymarket
Ajax
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ajax
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Kalshi
Sevilla
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$686
Trade this on Polymarket
Gent
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gent
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Heart of Midlothian
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Heart of Midlothian
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Elche
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 24s agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Getafe
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Enschede
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Enschede
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lincoln Red Imps
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln Red Imps
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Midtjylland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Midtjylland
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pafos
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pafos
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
CSKA Sofia
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
CSKA Sofia
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hajduk
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hajduk
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lugano
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lugano
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nordsjaelland
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nordsjaelland
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aarhus
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aarhus
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mjallby
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mjallby
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Málaga
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Coruña
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético de Madrid
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético de Madrid
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Barcelona
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 24s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Barcelona
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Likely the same bet: we have not reviewed these rules side by side yet

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jun 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 16, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Brighton
  • Villarreal
  • Real Sociedad

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Brighton for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "LaLiga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League". Brighton leads at 42%. Next is Villarreal at 25.5%. $18K has traded across 55 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League through the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 LaLiga league position or winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 LaLiga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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