The Prediction Markets

LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Málaga 67.5%

Next is Racing Santander at 42.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Málaga
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Santander
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elche
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Coruña
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Levante
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Polymarket
Espanyol
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Rayo Vallecano
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$686
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletic Bilbao
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $481 (4.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Bilbao
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$481 (4.81x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sevilla
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Barcelona
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Betis
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$845
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Málaga
  • Racing Santander
  • Elche

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)". Málaga leads at 67.5%. Next is Racing Santander at 42.5%. $24K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga. If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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