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Trading ended on May 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Kylian Mbappe82.7%82.4%72.4¢ bid, 92.3¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago92.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Kylian Mbappe82.7%Polymarket 82.4%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 92.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kylian Mbappe
82.7%
82.4%
72.4¢ bid, 92.3¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
92.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kylian Mbappe
82.7%
Polymarket 82.4%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 92.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappe
- Last price
- 82.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 72.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $48K
Vedat Muriqi15.8%15.8%3.6¢ bid, 27.9¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago27.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $358 (3.58x)Vedat Muriqi15.8%Polymarket 15.8%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 27.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $358 (3.58x)
Vedat Muriqi
15.8%
15.8%
3.6¢ bid, 27.9¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
27.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $358 (3.58x)
Vedat Muriqi
15.8%
Polymarket 15.8%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 27.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $358 (3.58x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vedat Muriqi
- Last price
- 15.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $358 (3.58x)
- Volume
- $41K
Abel Ruiz0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Abel Ruiz0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Abel Ruiz
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Abel Ruiz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abel Ruiz
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $25K
Alex Baena0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Alex Baena0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alex Baena
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alex Baena
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alex Baena
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $123K
Alexander Sorloth0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Alexander Sorloth0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alexander Sorloth
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alexander Sorloth
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Sorloth
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $53K
Ante Budimir0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ante Budimir0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ante Budimir
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ante Budimir
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ante Budimir
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $20K
Antoine Griezmann0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Antoine Griezmann0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Antoine Griezmann
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Antoine Griezmann
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antoine Griezmann
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $14K
Ayoze Perez0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ayoze Perez0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ayoze Perez
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ayoze Perez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ayoze Perez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $24K
Broja Iglesias0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Broja Iglesias0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Broja Iglesias
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Broja Iglesias
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Broja Iglesias
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $60K
Cristhian Stuani0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Cristhian Stuani0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Cristhian Stuani
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Cristhian Stuani
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cristhian Stuani
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $32K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Cyle Larin0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Cyle Larin0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Cyle Larin
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Cyle Larin
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cyle Larin
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $33K
Dani Olmo0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dani Olmo0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dani Olmo
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dani Olmo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dani Olmo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $51K
Daniel Raba0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Daniel Raba0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Daniel Raba
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Daniel Raba
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Raba
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $28K
Dodi Lukebakio0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dodi Lukebakio0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dodi Lukebakio
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dodi Lukebakio
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dodi Lukebakio
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $36K
Ferran Torres0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ferran Torres0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ferran Torres
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ferran Torres
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ferran Torres
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $399K
Gonzalo Garcia0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gonzalo Garcia0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gonzalo Garcia
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gonzalo Garcia
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gonzalo Garcia
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $57K
Gorka Guruzeta0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gorka Guruzeta0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gorka Guruzeta
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gorka Guruzeta
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gorka Guruzeta
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $20K
Hugo Duro0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Hugo Duro0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hugo Duro
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hugo Duro
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hugo Duro
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $60K
Iago Aspas0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Iago Aspas0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iago Aspas
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iago Aspas
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iago Aspas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $56K
Inaki Williams0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Inaki Williams0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Inaki Williams
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Inaki Williams
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inaki Williams
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $30K
Javi Puado0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Javi Puado0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Javi Puado
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Javi Puado
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Javi Puado
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $52K
Jude Bellingham0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Jude Bellingham0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jude Bellingham
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Jude Bellingham
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $23K
Julian Alvarez0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Julian Alvarez0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Julian Alvarez
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Julian Alvarez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julian Alvarez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $31K
Lamine Yamal0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Lamine Yamal0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Lamine Yamal
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Lamine Yamal
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $217K
Marcus Rashford0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Marcus Rashford0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Marcus Rashford
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Marcus Rashford
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marcus Rashford
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $39K
Mikel Oyarzabal0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Mikel Oyarzabal0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $16K
Oihan Sancet0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Oihan Sancet0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oihan Sancet
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oihan Sancet
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oihan Sancet
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $466K
Raphinha0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Raphinha0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Raphinha
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Raphinha
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raphinha
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $27K
Robert Lewandowski0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Robert Lewandowski0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Robert Lewandowski
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Robert Lewandowski
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Robert Lewandowski
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $109K
Roberto Fernandez0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Roberto Fernandez0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Roberto Fernandez
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Roberto Fernandez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Roberto Fernandez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $19K
Vinicius Junior0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Vinicius Junior0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Vinicius Junior
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Vinicius Junior
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vinicius Junior
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $33K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kylian Mbappe
- Vedat Muriqi
- Abel Ruiz
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "LALIGA: Top Goalscorer ". Kylian Mbappe last traded at 82.7%. Next is Vedat Muriqi at 15.8%. $2.2M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 30, 2026.
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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