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ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Kylian Mbappé 47.6%
Next is Raphinha at 43.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Kylian Mbappé47.6%47.5%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 2 min ago48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Kylian Mbappé47.6%Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kylian Mbappé
47.6%
47.5%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kylian Mbappé
47.6%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappé
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $77K
Raphinha43.8%43.8%43.2¢ bid, 44.3¢ askpolled, 2 min ago44.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $226 (2.26x)Raphinha43.8%Polymarket 43.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $226 (2.26x)
Raphinha
43.8%
43.8%
43.2¢ bid, 44.3¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
44.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $226 (2.26x)
Raphinha
43.8%
Polymarket 43.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $226 (2.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raphinha
- Last price
- 43.8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 43.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $226 (2.26x)
- Volume
- $47K
Lamine Yamal6.3%6.3%6¢ bid, 6.6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago6.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)Lamine Yamal6.3%Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Lamine Yamal
6.3%
6.3%
6¢ bid, 6.6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
6.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Lamine Yamal
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,515 (15.2x)
- Volume
- $26K
Ante Budimir0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Ante Budimir0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ante Budimir
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ante Budimir
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ante Budimir
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $12K
Anthony Gordon0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Anthony Gordon0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Anthony Gordon
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Anthony Gordon
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anthony Gordon
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $9K
Borja Iglesias0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Borja Iglesias0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Borja Iglesias
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Borja Iglesias
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borja Iglesias
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $12K
Jude Bellingham0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Jude Bellingham0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jude Bellingham
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jude Bellingham
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $13K
Julián Álvarez0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Julián Álvarez0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Julián Álvarez
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Julián Álvarez
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julián Álvarez
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $12K
Karim Adeyemi0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Karim Adeyemi0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Karim Adeyemi
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Karim Adeyemi
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Karim Adeyemi
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $12K
lex Baena0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)lex Baena0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
lex Baena
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
lex Baena
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- lex Baena
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $18K
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Mikel Oyarzabal0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Mikel Oyarzabal0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $14K
Vinícius Júnior0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Vinícius Júnior0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Vinícius Júnior
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Vinícius Júnior
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vinícius Júnior
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $13K
Alexander Sørloth0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Alexander Sørloth0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alexander Sørloth
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Alexander Sørloth
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Sørloth
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ayoze Pérez0.1%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Ayoze Pérez0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ayoze Pérez
0.1%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ayoze Pérez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ayoze Pérez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $10K
Dani Olmo0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dani Olmo0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dani Olmo
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dani Olmo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dani Olmo
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Yan Diomande0.1%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Yan Diomande0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Yan Diomande
0.1%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Yan Diomande
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan Diomande
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $10K
Dodi Lukebakio0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Dodi Lukebakio0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dodi Lukebakio
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Dodi Lukebakio
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dodi Lukebakio
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gonzalo García0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gonzalo García0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gonzalo García
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gonzalo García
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gonzalo García
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gorka Guruzeta0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gorka Guruzeta0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gorka Guruzeta
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Gorka Guruzeta
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gorka Guruzeta
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $10K
Hugo Duro0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Hugo Duro0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hugo Duro
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hugo Duro
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hugo Duro
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $11K
Iago Aspas0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Iago Aspas0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iago Aspas
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iago Aspas
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iago Aspas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $5K
Iñaki Williams0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Iñaki Williams0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iñaki Williams
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Iñaki Williams
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iñaki Williams
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $244
Javi Puado0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Javi Puado0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Javi Puado
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Javi Puado
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Javi Puado
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Oihan Sancet0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Oihan Sancet0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oihan Sancet
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Oihan Sancet
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oihan Sancet
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $316
Robert Lewandowski0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Robert Lewandowski0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Robert Lewandowski
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Robert Lewandowski
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Robert Lewandowski
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kylian Mbappé
- Raphinha
- Lamine Yamal
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "LaLiga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27". Kylian Mbappé leads at 47.6%. Next is Raphinha at 43.8%. $335K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 La Liga season. Only goals scored in La Liga matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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