The Prediction Markets

Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Reliance Industries Ltd 88%

Next is Axis Bank Ltd at 42.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Reliance Industries Ltd
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reliance Industries Ltd
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Axis Bank Ltd
42.7%
Polymarket 42.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Axis Bank Ltd
Last price
42.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$650
Trade this on Polymarket
Bharti Airtel Ltd
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $794 (7.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bajaj Finance Ltd
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$794 (7.94x)
Volume
$471
Trade this on Polymarket
Hindustan Unilever Ltd
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hindustan Unilever Ltd
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$510
Trade this on Polymarket
Jio Platforms
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jio Platforms
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bharti Airtel Ltd
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bharti Airtel Ltd
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$712
Trade this on Polymarket
Axis Bank Ltd
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adani Power Ltd
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$584
Trade this on Polymarket
Larsen & Toubro Ltd
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Larsen & Toubro Ltd
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$572
Trade this on Polymarket
Life Insurance Corporation of India
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Life Insurance Corporation of India
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$580
Trade this on Polymarket
HDFC Bank Ltd
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
HDFC Bank Ltd
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$592
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
ICICI Bank Ltd
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
ICICI Bank Ltd
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Polymarket
State Bank of India
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
State Bank of India
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Polymarket
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$677
Trade this on Polymarket
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$499
Trade this on Polymarket
Infosys Ltd
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Infosys Ltd
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$564
Trade this on Polymarket
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$717
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bseindia.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Reliance Industries Ltd
  • Axis Bank Ltd
  • Bharti Airtel Ltd

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?". Reliance Industries Ltd leads at 88%. Next is Axis Bank Ltd at 42.7%. $16K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to the largest Indian public company by market cap on December 31, 2026, at 11:59PM ET. In the event that two listed companies merge prior to the resolution date, the merged entity will be considered to be the same company as the acquirer. If there is no clear acquirer, or if the merged entity trades under a new ticker, the merged entity will be considered to be the company that comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange can be found here as of the launch of this market: https://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/eqreports/topmarketcapitalization

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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