The Prediction Markets

Las Piedras vs Penarol: Total Goals

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo) 73%

Next is Over 0.5 goals scored at 23%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo)
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo)
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 0.5 goals scored
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 goals scored
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
CA Penarol Montevideo
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
CA Penarol Montevideo
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
CA Juventud de Las Piedras
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
CA Juventud de Las Piedras
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 1.5 goals scored
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 3.5 goals scored
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$741
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 4.5 goals scored
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$839
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 5.5 goals scored
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: auf.org.uy
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo)
  • Over 0.5 goals scored
  • CA Penarol Montevideo

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo) for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Las Piedras vs Penarol: Total Goals". Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo) leads at 73%. Next is Over 0.5 goals scored at 23%. $9K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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