The Prediction Markets

Las Vegas: Team Specials

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$20K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards 45%

Next is Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game at 27%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza records 300+ passing yards in a single game
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza records 300+ passing yards in a single game
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Bowers records 175+ receiving yards in a single game
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Bowers records 175+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Nailor records 100+ receiving yards in a single game
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Nailor records 100+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas records 400+ passing yards in a single game
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas records 400+ passing yards in a single game
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$755
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashton Jeanty records 200+ rushing yards in a single game
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty records 200+ rushing yards in a single game
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$766
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Bowers records 3+ touchdowns in a single game
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Bowers records 3+ touchdowns in a single game
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas records 8+ sacks in a single game
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas records 8+ sacks in a single game
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas allow 0 points in a single game
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas allow 0 points in a single game
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards
  • Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game
  • Fernando Mendoza records 300+ passing yards in a single game

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Las Vegas: Team Specials". Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards leads at 45%. Next is Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game at 27%. $20K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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