The Prediction Markets

Las Vegas vs Connecticut

Closed
May 16, 2026
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 16, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Brittney Griner: 20+
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brittney Griner: 20+
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brittney Griner: 15+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brittney Griner: 15+
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Kalshi
Brittney Griner: 10+
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brittney Griner: 10+
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Brittney Griner: 20+
  • Brittney Griner: 15+
  • Brittney Griner: 10+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Las Vegas vs Connecticut". Brittney Griner: 20+ last traded at 33%. Next is Brittney Griner: 15+ at 28%. $5K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on May 29, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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