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What the markets expect
On to the Next One 45.7%
Next is 03 Bonnie & Clyde at 45.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
On to the Next One45.7%45.7%1¢ bid, 90.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago90.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)On to the Next One45.7%Polymarket 45.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 90.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
On to the Next One
45.7%
45.7%
1¢ bid, 90.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
90.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
On to the Next One
45.7%
Polymarket 45.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 90.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- On to the Next One
- Last price
- 45.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
03 Bonnie & Clyde45.5%45.5%1¢ bid, 89.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)03 Bonnie & Clyde45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
03 Bonnie & Clyde
45.5%
45.5%
1¢ bid, 89.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
03 Bonnie & Clyde
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 03 Bonnie & Clyde
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Apeshit45.5%45.5%1¢ bid, 89.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Apeshit45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Apeshit
45.5%
45.5%
1¢ bid, 89.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Apeshit
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Apeshit
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)45.5%45.5%1¢ bid, 89.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)
45.5%
45.5%
1¢ bid, 89.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Jigga What, Jigga Who45.5%45.5%1.1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Jigga What, Jigga Who45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Jigga What, Jigga Who
45.5%
45.5%
1.1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Jigga What, Jigga Who
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jigga What, Jigga Who
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Show Me What You Got45.5%45.5%1¢ bid, 89.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Show Me What You Got45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Show Me What You Got
45.5%
45.5%
1¢ bid, 89.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Show Me What You Got
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Show Me What You Got
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Umbrella45.5%45.5%1¢ bid, 89.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Umbrella45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Umbrella
45.5%
45.5%
1¢ bid, 89.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Umbrella
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Umbrella
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Dirt Off Your Shoulder45.4%45.4%1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Dirt Off Your Shoulder45.4%Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Dirt Off Your Shoulder
45.4%
45.4%
1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Dirt Off Your Shoulder
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dirt Off Your Shoulder
- Last price
- 45.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Drunk in Love45.4%45.4%1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Drunk in Love45.4%Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Drunk in Love
45.4%
45.4%
1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Drunk in Love
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Drunk in Love
- Last price
- 45.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)45.4%45.4%1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)45.4%Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)
45.4%
45.4%
1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)
- Last price
- 45.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)45.4%45.4%1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Izzo (H.O.V.A.)45.4%Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
45.4%
45.4%
1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Izzo (H.O.V.A.)
- Last price
- 45.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
N****s in Paris45.4%45.4%1¢ bid, 89.8¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)N****s in Paris45.4%Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
N****s in Paris
45.4%
45.4%
1¢ bid, 89.8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
N****s in Paris
45.4%
Polymarket 45.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- N****s in Paris
- Last price
- 45.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
No Church in the WildPolymarket: “Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)”45.1%45.1%1¢ bid, 89.1¢ askpolled, 37s ago89.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)No Church in the Wild45.1%Polymarket 45.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
No Church in the Wild
Polymarket: “Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)”
45.1%
45.1%
1¢ bid, 89.1¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
89.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
No Church in the Wild
45.1%
Polymarket 45.1%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 89.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)
- Last price
- 45.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Crazy in Love44.5%44.5%2¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 37s ago87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Crazy in Love44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Crazy in Love
44.5%
44.5%
2¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Crazy in Love
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Crazy in Love
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
No Church in the Wild44.5%44.5%1¢ bid, 87.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago87.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $114 (1.14x)No Church in the Wild44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
No Church in the Wild
44.5%
44.5%
1¢ bid, 87.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
87.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
No Church in the Wild
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Church in the Wild
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Run This Town44.3%44.3%1¢ bid, 87.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago87.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Run This Town44.3%Polymarket 44.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Run This Town
44.3%
44.3%
1¢ bid, 87.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
87.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Run This Town
44.3%
Polymarket 44.3%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Run This Town
- Last price
- 44.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
99 Problems43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 37s ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)99 Problems43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
99 Problems
43.5%
43.5%
1¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
99 Problems
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 99 Problems
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Big Pimpin'43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 37s ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Big Pimpin'43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Big Pimpin'
43.5%
43.5%
1¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Big Pimpin'
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Big Pimpin'
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Encore43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 37s ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Encore43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Encore
43.5%
43.5%
1¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Encore
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Encore
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
God Did43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 37s ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)God Did43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
God Did
43.5%
43.5%
1¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
God Did
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- God Did
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Public Service Announcement43.5%43.5%9¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 37s ago87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Public Service Announcement43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Public Service Announcement
43.5%
43.5%
9¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Public Service Announcement
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Public Service Announcement
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $206
Young Forever43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 37s ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Young Forever43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Young Forever
43.5%
43.5%
1¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Young Forever
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Young Forever
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Empire State of Mind39.5%39.5%1¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 37s ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Empire State of Mind39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Empire State of Mind
39.5%
39.5%
1¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Empire State of Mind
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Empire State of Mind
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $25
Holy Grail6.4%6.4%4.8¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 37s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Holy Grail6.4%Polymarket 6.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Holy Grail
6.4%
6.4%
4.8¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Holy Grail
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Holy Grail
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Can I Get A...2.7%2.7%1¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 37s ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Can I Get A...2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Can I Get A...
2.7%
2.7%
1¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Can I Get A...
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Can I Get A...
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $40
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- On to the Next One
- 03 Bonnie & Clyde
- Apeshit
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?". On to the Next One leads at 45.7%. Next is 03 Bonnie & Clyde at 45.5%. $1K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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