The Prediction Markets

Latin Grammy Awards · Song of the Year

Closes
Nov 13, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$18K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Coleccionando Heridas 80%

Next is La Perla at 61%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Coleccionando Heridas
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coleccionando Heridas
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
La Perla
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
La Perla
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jorge Drexler
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Drexler
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Solifican12
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Solifican12
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hasta Jesús Tuvo Un Mal Día
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hasta Jesús Tuvo Un Mal Día
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Femme Fatale
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Femme Fatale
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mi Gran Amor
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mi Gran Amor
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nilo
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nilo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dime
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dime
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Humano
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Humano
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Latin Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Coleccionando Heridas
  • La Perla
  • Jorge Drexler

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Latin Grammy Awards · Song of the Year". Coleccionando Heridas leads at 80%. Next is La Perla at 61%. $18K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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