The Prediction Markets

League Phase Top Finisher

Closes
Feb 11, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$150K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 93%

Next is Real Madrid at 54%. The venues differ most on Arsenal (Polymarket 91.5%, Kalshi 12%), a 80-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real MadridArb
54%
Polymarket 96.2%polled, 44s agoKalshi 26%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
96.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.7¢
Sell Yes
95.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 26¢ and selling on Polymarket at 95.7¢ nets 6970 bps before fees.

LiverpoolArb
41.5%
Polymarket 81%polled, 44s agoKalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 6700 bps before fees.

Manchester CityArb
40.6%
Polymarket 55%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$671
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 54¢ nets 5300 bps before fees.

Bayern MunichArb
39.9%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 57¢ nets 5500 bps before fees.

PSG
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aston VillaArb
35.2%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 49¢ nets 4800 bps before fees.

VfB Stuttgart
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
ArsenalArb
31.9%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 12%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$542
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 91¢ nets 7900 bps before fees.

BarcelonaArb
27.6%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$79K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 7000 bps before fees.

Show 36 more outcomes
Atlético Madrid
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$579
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real BetisArb
18.2%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 42¢ nets 4000 bps before fees.

Sporting CPArb
10.8%
Polymarket 14%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

RB Leipzig
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
VillarrealArb
7.4%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

ComoArb
7.3%
Polymarket 14%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

Club BruggeArb
6.7%
Polymarket 12.8%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
12.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11.6¢ nets 1060 bps before fees.

RomaArb
6.3%
Polymarket 12%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Manchester UnitedArb
3.6%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

FeyenoordArb
3.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

NapoliArb
3.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Shakhtar Donetsk
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahçe
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
PSV EindhovenArb
3%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Sabah
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
LensArb
2.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Viking
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Galatasaray
1.7%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Slovan Bratislava
1.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

LASK
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

AEK AthensArb
1.5%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 44s agoKalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.5¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Bodø/Glimt
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$446
Trade this on Polymarket
Porto
1.1%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Atletico
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Dortmund
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Shakhtar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Kalshi
Lille
1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Bodø/Glimt
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fenerbahce
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Leipzig
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabah Masazir
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slavia Prague
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 44s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Arsenal on Kalshi at 12¢, sell on Polymarket at 91¢ (7900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 11, 2027, 1:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: UCL
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Feb 28, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 11, 2027, 1:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Real Madrid
  • Liverpool

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Paris Saint-Germain for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "League Phase Top Finisher". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 93%. Next is Real Madrid at 54%. $150K has traded across 46 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 11, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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