The Prediction Markets

Leipzig vs Elversberg: Total Goals

Starts in 14 hKickoff
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
52 min ago
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What the markets expect

Over 0.5 goals scored 97%

Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 91%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 52 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 goals scored
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
RB Leipzig
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 3.5 goals scored
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 4.5 goals scored
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 5.5 goals scored
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw (RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg)
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg)
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
SV 07 Elversberg
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 52 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV 07 Elversberg
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 52 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bundesliga.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 0.5 goals scored
  • Over 1.5 goals scored
  • Over 2.5 goals scored

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Leipzig vs Elversberg: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 97%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 91%. $13K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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