The Prediction Markets

Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Sichuan Blue Whales

Starts in 6 hKickoff
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Liaoning Flying Leopards 91.3%

Next is Liaoning Flying Leopards (-8.5) at 65%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Liaoning Flying Leopards
91.3%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 21s agoKalshi 91%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liaoning Flying Leopards
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$684
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 91¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 91¢.

Liaoning Flying Leopards (-8.5)
65%
Polymarket 65%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liaoning Flying Leopards (-8.5)
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 180.5
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 180.5
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
Sichuan Blue Whales
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sichuan Blue Whales
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: flashscore.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sofascore, CBA
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Liaoning Flying Leopards
  • Liaoning Flying Leopards (-8.5)
  • O/U 180.5

Live prices for Liaoning Flying Leopards

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Sichuan Blue Whales". Liaoning Flying Leopards leads at 91.3%. Next is Liaoning Flying Leopards (-8.5) at 65%. $5K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:35AM ET: If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the Sichuan Blue Whales win, the market will resolve to "Sichuan Blue Whales". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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