The Prediction Markets

Liga MX: 2026-27 Apertura Most Assists

Closes
Dec 28, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$855K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Alexis Vega 53.3%

Next is José Paradela at 50%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Alexis Vega
53.3%
Polymarket 53.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexis Vega
Last price
53.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Polymarket
José Paradela
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Paradela
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
Lucas Ocampos
47.2%
Polymarket 47.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 94.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lucas Ocampos
Last price
47.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
94.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Juan Brunetta
46.6%
Polymarket 46.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 92.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juan Brunetta
Last price
46.6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
92.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$207
Trade this on Polymarket
America
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
America
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$127K
Trade this on Kalshi
Guadalajara
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guadalajara
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$129K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cruz Azul
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cruz Azul
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$128K
Trade this on Kalshi
Toluca
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toluca
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$79K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monterrey
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monterrey
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Kalshi
Santos Laguna
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Santos Laguna
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Atlas
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlas
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicolás Castro
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolás Castro
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Polymarket
Diego González
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Diego González
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Leon
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leon
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ismael Díaz
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ismael Díaz
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Polymarket
Luca Orellano
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luca Orellano
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Polymarket
Queretaro
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Queretaro
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tigres
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tigres
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ezequiel Bullaude
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ezequiel Bullaude
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Rodríguez
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Rodríguez
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
liver Torres
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
liver Torres
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Ramiro Árciga
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ramiro Árciga
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Richard Ledezma
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Ledezma
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Pachuca
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pachuca
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pumas UNAM
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pumas UNAM
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Kalshi
Carlos Rotondi
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Rotondi
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$435
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlante
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlante
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Juarez
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juarez
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Necaxa
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Necaxa
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Puebla
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Puebla
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Luis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Luis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tijuana de Caliente
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tijuana de Caliente
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligamx.net
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alexis Vega
  • José Paradela
  • Lucas Ocampos

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Alexis Vega for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Liga MX: 2026-27 Apertura Most Assists". Alexis Vega leads at 53.3%. Next is José Paradela at 50%. $855K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most assists during the regular season of the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by Liga MX rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition is canceled or not completed by December 27, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Liga MX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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