The Prediction Markets

Liga MX: 2026 Apertura 2nd Place Finish

Closes
Dec 28, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$49K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Club América 22.2%

Next is Cruz Azul at 12.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Club América 22.2%Cruz Azul 12.5%Guadalajara (Chivas) 12.2%Pachuca 11.3%CF Monterrey 10.5%13 others 31.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Club América
22.2%
Polymarket 32%(22.2% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club América
Last price
32%
Fair, margin removed
22.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul
12.5%
Polymarket 18%(12.5% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul
Last price
18%
Fair, margin removed
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Guadalajara (Chivas)
12.2%
Polymarket 17.5%(12.2% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guadalajara (Chivas)
Last price
17.5%
Fair, margin removed
12.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pachuca
11.3%
Polymarket 16.3%(11.3% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pachuca
Last price
16.3%
Fair, margin removed
11.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$780
Trade this on Polymarket
CF Monterrey
10.5%
Polymarket 15.2%(10.5% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 27.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $358 (3.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
CF Monterrey
Last price
15.2%
Fair, margin removed
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27.9¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$358 (3.58x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Toluca
9%
Polymarket 13%(9% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 14.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $676 (6.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toluca
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
11.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Santos Laguna
4.1%
Polymarket 6%(4.1% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Santos Laguna
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlas
3.7%
Polymarket 5.3%(3.7% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlas
Last price
5.3%
Fair, margin removed
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$595
Trade this on Polymarket
León
3.4%
Polymarket 4.9%(3.4% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
León
Last price
4.9%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
UNAM Pumas
3%
Polymarket 4.3%(3% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
UNAM Pumas
Last price
4.3%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Querétaro
2.6%
Polymarket 3.7%(2.6% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Querétaro
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tijuana
2.5%
Polymarket 3.7%(2.5% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tijuana
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Puebla
1.2%
Polymarket 1.7%(1.1% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puebla
Last price
1.7%
Fair, margin removed
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket
Tigres UANL
1.2%
Polymarket 1.8%(1.2% fair)polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tigres UANL
Last price
1.8%
Fair, margin removed
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlante FC
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlante FC
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$503
Trade this on Polymarket
Necaxa
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Necaxa
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético San Luis
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético San Luis
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Juárez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Juárez
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligamx.net

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Club América
  • Cruz Azul
  • Guadalajara (Chivas)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Liga MX: 2026 Apertura 2nd Place Finish". Club América leads at 22.2%. Next is Cruz Azul at 12.5%. $49K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 2nd (runner-up) in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition final phase. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Liga MX as finishing in second place in the Apertura final phase. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura competition (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Liga MX Apertura is cancelled, postponed after December 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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