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What the markets expect
Salomon Rondon 93%
Next is Ali Avila at 47.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Salomon Rondon93%93%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Salomon Rondon93%Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Salomon Rondon
93%
93%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Salomon Rondon
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Salomon Rondon
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $135
Ali Avila47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Ali Avila47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ali Avila
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Ali Avila
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ali Avila
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Jeremy Marquez47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Jeremy Marquez47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jeremy Marquez
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jeremy Marquez
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremy Marquez
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Rafa Llorente47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Rafa Llorente47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Rafa Llorente
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Rafa Llorente
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rafa Llorente
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Roberto Alvarado47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Roberto Alvarado47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Roberto Alvarado
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Roberto Alvarado
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roberto Alvarado
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Eugenio Pizzuto47%47%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Eugenio Pizzuto47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Eugenio Pizzuto
47%
47%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Eugenio Pizzuto
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eugenio Pizzuto
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Mourad El Ghezouani47%47%— bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Mourad El Ghezouani47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Mourad El Ghezouani
47%
47%
— bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Mourad El Ghezouani
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mourad El Ghezouani
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Oscar Estupinan43%43%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Oscar Estupinan43%Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Oscar Estupinan
43%
43%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Oscar Estupinan
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar Estupinan
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Santiago Homenchenko42.5%42.5%— bid, 85¢ askpolled, 1 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Santiago Homenchenko42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Santiago Homenchenko
42.5%
42.5%
— bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Santiago Homenchenko
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Santiago Homenchenko
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Uros Djurdjevic38%38%— bid, 76¢ askpolled, 1 min ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Uros Djurdjevic38%Kalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Uros Djurdjevic
38%
38%
— bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Uros Djurdjevic
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uros Djurdjevic
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Brian Rodriguez28%28%— bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Brian Rodriguez28%Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Brian Rodriguez
28%
28%
— bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Brian Rodriguez
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Rodriguez
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $256
Paulinho9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Paulinho9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Paulinho
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Paulinho
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paulinho
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $800
Julian Carranza8%8%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Julian Carranza8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Julian Carranza
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Julian Carranza
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Carranza
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $44
Juninho6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Juninho6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Juninho
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Juninho
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Juninho
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Armando Gonzalez6%6%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Armando Gonzalez6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Armando Gonzalez
6%
6%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Armando Gonzalez
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Armando Gonzalez
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $250
Lucas Ocampos4%4%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Lucas Ocampos4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Lucas Ocampos
4%
4%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Lucas Ocampos
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lucas Ocampos
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $356
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Salomon Rondon
- Ali Avila
- Jeremy Marquez
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Liga MX Apertura Golden Boot". Salomon Rondon leads at 93%. Next is Ali Avila at 47.5%. $2K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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