The Prediction Markets

Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Aldosivi 90.5%

Next is Estudiantes (RC) at 82.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Aldosivi
90.5%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aldosivi
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
81.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Estudiantes (RC)
82.2%
Polymarket 82.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estudiantes (RC)
Last price
82.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
64.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Lanús
45.6%
Polymarket 45.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lanús
Last price
45.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tigre
45.2%
Polymarket 45.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tigre
Last price
45.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sarmiento (J)
12.6%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sarmiento (J)
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$295
Trade this on Polymarket
Platense
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Platense
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Independiente
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Independiente
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Riestra
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Riestra
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Talleres (C)
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Talleres (C)
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$385
Trade this on Polymarket
River Plate
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
River Plate
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Atlético Tucumán
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Tucumán
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
San Lorenzo
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Lorenzo
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Belgrano
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Belgrano
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Estudiantes (LP)
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estudiantes (LP)
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$506
Trade this on Polymarket
Newell's Old Boys
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Newell's Old Boys
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Vélez Sarsfield
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vélez Sarsfield
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Defensa y Justicia
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Defensa y Justicia
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
Rosario Central
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rosario Central
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Polymarket
Central Córdoba (SdE)
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Central Córdoba (SdE)
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Instituto
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Instituto
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$971
Trade this on Polymarket
Boca Juniors
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boca Juniors
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Polymarket
Unión
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Unión
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Polymarket
Argentinos Juniors
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Argentinos Juniors
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Huracán
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Huracán
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Banfield
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Banfield
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$149
Trade this on Polymarket
Independiente Rivadavia
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Independiente Rivadavia
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Polymarket
Barracas Central
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barracas Central
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Aldosivi
  • Estudiantes (RC)
  • Lanús

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)". Aldosivi leads at 90.5%. Next is Estudiantes (RC) at 82.2%. $7K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Profesional (Argentina) at the conclusion of the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Profesional (Argentina). If the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Liga Profesional (Argentina). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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