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What the markets expect
Manta 77%
Next is Delfín at 39.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Manta77%77%76¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 1 h ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Manta77%Polymarket 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Manta
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Manta
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manta
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $1K
Delfín39.5%39.5%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 h ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Delfín39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Delfín
39.5%
39.5%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Delfín
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Delfín
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $2K
Técnico Universitario39%39%28¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 h ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Técnico Universitario39%Polymarket 39%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Técnico Universitario
39%
39%
28¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Técnico Universitario
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Técnico Universitario
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $100
Orense16%16%7¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 h ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Orense16%Polymarket 16%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Orense
16%
16%
7¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Orense
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orense
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Mushuc Runa3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Mushuc Runa3%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mushuc Runa
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mushuc Runa
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mushuc Runa
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $41
Macará2.9%2.9%0.3¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)Macará2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Macará
2.9%
2.9%
0.3¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Macará
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Macará
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $64
Deportivo Cuenca2.7%2.7%0.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Deportivo Cuenca2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deportivo Cuenca
2.7%
2.7%
0.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deportivo Cuenca
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Deportivo Cuenca
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $42
Independiente del Valle2.7%2.7%0.4¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Independiente del Valle2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Independiente del Valle
2.7%
2.7%
0.4¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Independiente del Valle
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Independiente del Valle
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $21
Leones2.7%2.7%0.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Leones2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Leones
2.7%
2.7%
0.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Leones
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leones
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Libertad2.7%2.7%0.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Libertad2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Libertad
2.7%
2.7%
0.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Libertad
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Libertad
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Universidad Católica2.7%2.7%0.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Universidad Católica2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Universidad Católica
2.7%
2.7%
0.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Universidad Católica
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Universidad Católica
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Aucas2.1%2.1%0.1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Aucas2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aucas
2.1%
2.1%
0.1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aucas
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aucas
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Emelec2.1%2.1%0.1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Emelec2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Emelec
2.1%
2.1%
0.1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Emelec
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Emelec
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $197
LDU Quito2.1%2.1%0.1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)LDU Quito2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LDU Quito
2.1%
2.1%
0.1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LDU Quito
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LDU Quito
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Guayaquil City2%2%0.2¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Guayaquil City2%Polymarket 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Guayaquil City
2%
2%
0.2¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Guayaquil City
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Guayaquil City
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $409
Barcelona SC1.4%1.4%0.1¢ bid, 2.6¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)Barcelona SC1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Barcelona SC
1.4%
1.4%
0.1¢ bid, 2.6¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Barcelona SC
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Barcelona SC
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,846 (38.5x)
- Volume
- $124
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Manta
- Delfín
- Técnico Universitario
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)". Manta leads at 77%. Next is Delfín at 39.5%. $4K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) at the conclusion of the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador). If the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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