The Prediction Markets

Ligue 1: 2nd Place Finish

Closed
Jun 1, 2026
Traded
$54K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 175 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Lens
70.6%
Polymarket 94.4%(70.6% fair)polled, 4223 h agoBest Yes 98.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
94.4%
Fair, margin removed
70.6%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
98.6¢
Sell Yes
90.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$389
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
18.5%
Polymarket 24.8%(18.5% fair)polled, 4223 h agoBest Yes 48.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $206 (2.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
24.8%
Fair, margin removed
18.5%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
48.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$206 (2.06x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
6.1%
Polymarket 8.2%(6.1% fair)polled, 4223 h agoBest Yes 15.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $654 (6.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
8.2%
Fair, margin removed
6.1%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
15.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$654 (6.54x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
4%
Polymarket 5.3%(4% fair)polled, 4223 h agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
5.3%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
10.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$971 (9.71x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain
0.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4223 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligue1.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lens
  • Lyon
  • Lille

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Ligue 1: 2nd Place Finish". Lens last traded at 70.6%. Next is Lyon at 18.5%. $54K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Ligue 1 as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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