The Prediction Markets

Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League

Closes
Jun 13, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Paris Saint-Germain 96.1%

Next is Monaco at 49%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain
96.1%
Polymarket 96.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
96.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
95.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Monaco
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris FC
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Polymarket
Strasbourg
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Auxerre
11.4%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $457 (4.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$457 (4.57x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Marseille
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
8.6%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
7.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Polymarket
Toulouse
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Troyes
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Polymarket
Nice
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Mans
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Polymarket
Angers
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Havre
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Monaco
  • Lille

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League". Paris Saint-Germain leads at 96.1%. Next is Monaco at 49%. $25K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 13, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Ligue 1 league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Ligue 1 standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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