The Prediction Markets

Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League

Closes
Jun 13, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Angers 50.5%

Next is Brest at 50.5%. The venues differ most on Monaco (Polymarket 29%, Kalshi 10%), a 19-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Angers
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marseille
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris FC
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Strasbourg
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 43 more outcomes
Toulouse
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Havre
50.2%
Polymarket 50.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
50.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brighton
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brighton
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nice
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$886
Trade this on Polymarket
Egnatia Rrogozhine
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egnatia Rrogozhine
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
IC Escaldes
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
IC Escaldes
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jablonec
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jablonec
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kauno
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kauno
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kuopion Palloseura
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kuopion Palloseura
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Riga FC
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Riga FC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Truidense
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Truidense
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Thun
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thun
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Uni Craiova
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uni Craiova
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
MonacoArb
14.8%
Polymarket 29%polled, 26s agoKalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Monaco
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 16¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Banja Luka
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Banja Luka
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Crvena Zvezda
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crvena Zvezda
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iberia
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iberia
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kairat
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kairat
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Atalanta
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$781
Trade this on Kalshi
Braga
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Braga
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Freiburg
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Brann
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brann
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trabzonspor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trabzonspor
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Copenhagen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Copenhagen
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Panathinaikos
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panathinaikos
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Kalshi
Ajax
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ajax
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Kalshi
Auxerre
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
Gent
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gent
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Heart of Midlothian
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Heart of Midlothian
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Enschede
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Enschede
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Le Mans
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Lincoln Red Imps
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln Red Imps
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Midtjylland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Midtjylland
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pafos
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pafos
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
CSKA Sofia
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
CSKA Sofia
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Getafe
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Getafe
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hajduk
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hajduk
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lugano
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lugano
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nordsjaelland
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nordsjaelland
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Troyes
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Polymarket
Aarhus
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aarhus
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mjallby
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mjallby
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Monaco on Kalshi at 10¢, sell on Polymarket at 16¢ (600 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jun 13, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 16, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jun 13, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 16, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Angers
  • Brest
  • Lens

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Angers for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League". Angers leads at 50.5%. Next is Brest at 50.5%. $9K has traded across 53 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 13, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League through the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Ligue 1 league position or winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Ligue 1 standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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