The Prediction Markets

Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Le Havre 66%

Next is Troyes at 52.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Le Havre
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Polymarket
Troyes
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$412
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Mans
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Auxerre
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Angers
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Nice
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Toulouse
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Marseille
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Strasbourg
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$551
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris FC
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
Monaco
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Le Havre
  • Troyes
  • Le Mans

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ligue 1: Teams relegated (2026-27)". Le Havre leads at 66%. Next is Troyes at 52.5%. $9K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Ligue 1 at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1. If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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