The Prediction Markets

Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27

Closes
May 31, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$40K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Estéban Lepaul 23.6%

Next is Ferran Torres at 18.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Estéban Lepaul 23.6%Ferran Torres 18.1%Joaquín Panichelli 12.8%Folarin Balogun 9%Ousmane Dembélé 7.4%13 others 29.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Estéban Lepaul
23.6%
Polymarket 25.5%(23.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estéban Lepaul
Last price
25.5%
Fair, margin removed
23.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ferran Torres
18.1%
Polymarket 19.5%(18.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferran Torres
Last price
19.5%
Fair, margin removed
18.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joaquín Panichelli
12.8%
Polymarket 13.9%(12.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $377 (3.77x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joaquín Panichelli
Last price
13.9%
Fair, margin removed
12.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$377 (3.77x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Polymarket
Folarin Balogun
9%
Polymarket 9.7%(9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $893 (8.93x)
Polymarket
Contract
Folarin Balogun
Last price
9.7%
Fair, margin removed
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11.2¢
Sell Yes
8.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$893 (8.93x)
Volume
$772
Trade this on Polymarket
Ousmane Dembélé
7.4%
Polymarket 8%(7.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ousmane Dembélé
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
7.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ludovic Ajorque
6.3%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ludovic Ajorque
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Amine Gouiri
5.7%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amine Gouiri
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$599
Trade this on Polymarket
Désiré Doué
3.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Désiré Doué
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Martin Satriano
2.8%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Satriano
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket
Terem Moffi
2.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terem Moffi
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2.2%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Achraf Hakimi
1.5%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Achraf Hakimi
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Breel Embolo
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Breel Embolo
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Igor Paixão
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Igor Paixão
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Maghnes Akliouche
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maghnes Akliouche
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Polymarket
Mika Biereth
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mika Biereth
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Polymarket
Georges Mikautadze
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georges Mikautadze
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Polymarket
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$667
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Estéban Lepaul
  • Ferran Torres
  • Joaquín Panichelli

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27". Estéban Lepaul leads at 23.6%. Next is Ferran Torres at 18.1%. $40K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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