The Prediction Markets

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

FinalKickoff
Traded
$2.6M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 26, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 178 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 4280 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 178 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 4280 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 178 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 4280 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 178 d ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 4280 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 178 d ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 4280 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 178 d ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
  • Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
  • Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend". Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? last traded at 10%. Next is Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? at 10%. $2.6M has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 26, 2026.

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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