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What the markets expect
Over 200.5 points 94%
Next is Over 202.5 points at 93.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 200.5 points94%94%94¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 44s ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 200.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 200.5 points
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 200.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 200.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $423
Over 202.5 points93.5%93.5%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 44s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 202.5 points93.5%Kalshi 93.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 202.5 points
93.5%
93.5%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 202.5 points
93.5%
Kalshi 93.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 202.5 points
- Last price
- 93.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 204.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 44s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 204.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 204.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 204.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 204.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 206.5 points89%89%89¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 44s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 206.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 206.5 points
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 206.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 206.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 208.5 points89%89%88¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 44s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 208.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 208.5 points
89%
89%
88¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 208.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 208.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 210.5 points86.5%86.5%85¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 44s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 210.5 points86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 210.5 points
86.5%
86.5%
85¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 210.5 points
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 210.5 points
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 212.5 points82%82%82¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 44s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Over 212.5 points82%Kalshi 82%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 212.5 points
82%
82%
82¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 212.5 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 212.5 points
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $45
Over 214.5 points79.5%79.5%79¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 44s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Over 214.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 214.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
79¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 214.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Over 216.5 points77%77%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 44s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 216.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 216.5 points
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 216.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Over 218.5 points72.5%72.5%72¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 44s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 218.5 points72.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 218.5 points
72.5%
72.5%
72¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 218.5 points
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 220.5 points69%69%68¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 44s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Over 220.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 220.5 points
69%
69%
68¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 220.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $28
Over 222.5 points63.5%63.5%63¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 44s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Over 222.5 points63.5%Kalshi 63.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 222.5 points
63.5%
63.5%
63¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 222.5 points
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Over 224.5 points59.5%59.5%59¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 44s ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Over 224.5 points59.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 224.5 points
59.5%
59.5%
59¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 224.5 points
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Over 226.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 44s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 226.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 226.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 226.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Over 228.5 points51%51%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 44s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 228.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 228.5 points
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 228.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $721
Over 230.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 44s ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 230.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 230.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 230.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 232.5 points42%42%41¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 44s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 232.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 232.5 points
42%
42%
41¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 232.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Over 234.5 points37%37%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 44s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 234.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 234.5 points
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 234.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Over 236.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 44s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 236.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 236.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 236.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Over 238.5 points30%30%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 44s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 238.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 238.5 points
30%
30%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 238.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 240.5 points26.5%26.5%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 44s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 240.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 240.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 240.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Over 242.5 points22.5%22.5%21¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 44s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 242.5 points22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 242.5 points
22.5%
22.5%
21¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 242.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 244.5 points19.5%19.5%18¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 44s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Over 244.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 244.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 244.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Over 246.5 points18%18%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 44s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 246.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 246.5 points
18%
18%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 246.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 248.5 points14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 44s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 248.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 248.5 points
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 248.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 250.5 points13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 44s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 250.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 250.5 points
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 250.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 252.5 points10%10%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 44s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 252.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 252.5 points
10%
10%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 252.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 254.5 points9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 44s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 254.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 254.5 points
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 254.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 256.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 44s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 256.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 256.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 44s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 256.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 44s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 200.5 points
- Over 202.5 points
- Over 204.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles L: Total Points". Over 200.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 202.5 points at 93.5%. $1K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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