The Prediction Markets

Lou Groza Award Winner

Closes
Jan 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Alex McPherson 35%

Next is David Olano at 35%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Alex McPherson
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex McPherson
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$624
Trade this on Kalshi
David Olano
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Olano
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$397
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonah Delange
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonah Delange
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Barker
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Barker
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Aidan Corbello
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aidan Corbello
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Taylor
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Taylor
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Caden Chittenden
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caden Chittenden
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Clune Van Andel
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clune Van Andel
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Collin Rogers
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Collin Rogers
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Colton Chmelar
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colton Chmelar
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
Connor Hawkins
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Connor Hawkins
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cooper Ranvier
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cooper Ranvier
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominic Bourgeois
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominic Bourgeois
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eli Ozick
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eli Ozick
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gabe Panikowski
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabe Panikowski
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Henry Bates
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Henry Bates
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hunter McKee
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hunter McKee
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack Olsen
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack Olsen
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jackson Kleather
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jackson Kleather
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Baggett
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Baggett
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Hand
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Hand
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Keaton Emmett
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keaton Emmett
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Ferrie
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Ferrie
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Liam Evans
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Evans
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lorcan Quinn
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lorcan Quinn
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Luca Lombardo
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luca Lombardo
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Rodriguez
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Rodriguez
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcello Diomede
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcello Diomede
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthias Dunn
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthias Dunn
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Micah Drescher
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Micah Drescher
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Gramatica
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Gramatica
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paddy McAteer
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paddy McAteer
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryon Sayeri
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryon Sayeri
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean O'Haire
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean O'Haire
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Spencer Barnett
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spencer Barnett
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Spencer Porath
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spencer Porath
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stone Harrington
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stone Harrington
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trey Butkowski
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trey Butkowski
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tucker Cornelius
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tucker Cornelius
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Robles
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Robles
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aidan Birr
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aidan Birr
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Kalshi
Peyton Woodring
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peyton Woodring
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$265
Trade this on Kalshi
Tate Sandell
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate Sandell
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$503
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Radicic
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Radicic
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Nolan Hauser
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nolan Hauser
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Kalshi
Lucas Carneiro
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lucas Carneiro
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Durkin
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Durkin
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
Gianni Spetic
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gianni Spetic
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
Manaki Watanabe
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manaki Watanabe
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alex McPherson
  • David Olano
  • Jonah Delange

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Lou Groza Award Winner". Alex McPherson leads at 35%. Next is David Olano at 35%. $3K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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