The Prediction Markets

Louisiana vs Southern Miss: Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$8K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Louisiana wins by over 1.5 points 75.5%

Next is Louisiana wins by over 2.5 points at 74%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 1.5 points
75.5%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 2.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 3.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 4.5 points
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 5.5 points
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 6.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 7.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 9.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 10.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 11.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$448
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
Louisiana wins by over 13.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 14.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 16.5 points
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 17.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 20.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 21.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 1.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 23.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 2.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 24.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 3.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 4.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 27.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 5.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 6.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisiana wins by over 30.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisiana wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 7.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 9.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 10.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 11.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Southern Miss wins by over 13.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Southern Miss wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Louisiana wins by over 1.5 points
  • Louisiana wins by over 2.5 points
  • Louisiana wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana vs Southern Miss: Spread". Louisiana wins by over 1.5 points leads at 75.5%. Next is Louisiana wins by over 2.5 points at 74%. $8K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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