The Prediction Markets

Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination

Closed
Jun 20, 2026
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 20, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Namibia
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Namibia
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Angelista
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angelista
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Priya
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Priya
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Kalshi
Ellie
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ellie
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$579
Trade this on Kalshi
Tommy
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Simba
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Simba
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$676
Trade this on Kalshi
Kavan
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kavan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
Aidan
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aidan
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$652
Trade this on Kalshi
Mica
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mica
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Yasmine
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yasmine
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Kalshi
Jasmine
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jasmine
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$440
Trade this on Kalshi
Lola
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lola
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$846
Trade this on Kalshi
Lorenzo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lorenzo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$391
Trade this on Kalshi
Chidi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chidi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Finley
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Halle
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Halle
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Samraj
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Samraj
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tina
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tina
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: itv, Hulu

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Namibia
  • Sam
  • Angelista

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination". Namibia last traded at 77%. Next is Sam at 75%. $11K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 20, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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