The Prediction Markets

Love Island USA S8: 3rd place couple

Closed
Jun 1, 2026
Traded
$10K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Trinity and Bryce
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Bryce
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Zach
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Zach
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Zach
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Zach
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and KC
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and KC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$705
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Gabriel
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Gabriel
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Gabriel
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Gabriel
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Sincere
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Sincere
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Bryce
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Bryce
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Sean
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Sean
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Sincere
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Sincere
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 51 more outcomes
Kayda and Bryce
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Bryce
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Zach
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Zach
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Gabriel
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Gabriel
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Corbin
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Corbin
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Corbin
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Corbin
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and KC
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and KC
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and KC
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and KC
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Corbin
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Corbin
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Sean
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Sean
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$231
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Corbin
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Corbin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Gabriel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Gabriel
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Sean
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Sean
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Sincere
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Sincere
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aniya and Zach
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aniya and Zach
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Bryce
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Bryce
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Corbin
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Corbin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and KC
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and KC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Sincere
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Sincere
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Beatriz and Zach
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beatriz and Zach
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Bryce
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Bryce
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and KC
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and KC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jen and Sincere
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jen and Sincere
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Bryce
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Bryce
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and KC
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and KC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and KC
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and KC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Sean
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Sean
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Sean
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Sean
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Sincere
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Sincere
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kayda and Sincere
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Sincere
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Corbin
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Corbin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Gabriel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kayda and Gabriel
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Bryce
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Bryce
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Gabriel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Gabriel
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and KC
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and KC
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Sean
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Sean
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melanie and Zach
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melanie and Zach
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and Bryce
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and Bryce
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and Corbin
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and Corbin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and Gabriel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and Gabriel
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Caleb
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Caleb
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Corbin
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Corbin
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Gabriel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Gabriel
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinity and Zach
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinity and Zach
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenzie and Caleb
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenzie and Caleb
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and Sincere
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and Sincere
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$399
Trade this on Kalshi
Sol and Zach
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sol and Zach
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: BBC, NBC, Peacock

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Trinity and Bryce
  • Kayda and Zach
  • Jen and Zach

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Love Island USA S8: 3rd place couple". Trinity and Bryce last traded at 39%. Next is Kayda and Zach at 34%. $10K has traded across 61 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Aug 31, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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