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What the markets expect
Corey Heim 12.4%
Next is Layne Riggs at 8.3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Corey Heim12.4%15%12.4% fair14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Corey Heim12.4%Kalshi 15%(12.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey Heim
12.4%
15%
12.4% fair
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey Heim
12.4%
Kalshi 15%(12.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 15%
- Fair, margin removed
- 12.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $5K
Layne Riggs8.3%10%8.3% fair10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Layne Riggs8.3%Kalshi 10%(8.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Layne Riggs
8.3%
10%
8.3% fair
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Layne Riggs
8.3%
Kalshi 10%(8.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Layne Riggs
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $4K
Christian Eckes6.6%8%6.6% fair6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Christian Eckes6.6%Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Christian Eckes
6.6%
8%
6.6% fair
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Christian Eckes
6.6%
Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Eckes
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Giovanni Ruggiero6.6%8%6.6% fair6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Giovanni Ruggiero6.6%Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
6.6%
8%
6.6% fair
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
6.6%
Kalshi 8%(6.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giovanni Ruggiero
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Chandler Smith5.8%7%5.8% fair6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Chandler Smith5.8%Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chandler Smith
5.8%
7%
5.8% fair
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chandler Smith
5.8%
Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chandler Smith
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kaden Honeycutt5%6%5% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kaden Honeycutt5%Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kaden Honeycutt
5%
6%
5% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kaden Honeycutt
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ben Rhodes4.1%5%4.1% fair4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ben Rhodes4.1%Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ben Rhodes
4.1%
5%
4.1% fair
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ben Rhodes
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rhodes
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Grant Enfinger4.1%5%4.1% fair4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Grant Enfinger4.1%Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Grant Enfinger
4.1%
5%
4.1% fair
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Grant Enfinger
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Enfinger
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ty Majeski4.1%5%4.1% fair4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ty Majeski4.1%Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ty Majeski
4.1%
5%
4.1% fair
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ty Majeski
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Majeski
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Corey LaJoie3.3%4%3.3% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Corey LaJoie3.3%Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corey LaJoie
3.3%
4%
3.3% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corey LaJoie
3.3%
Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey LaJoie
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $834
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
Justin Haley3.3%4%3.3% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Justin Haley3.3%Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Justin Haley
3.3%
4%
3.3% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Justin Haley
3.3%
Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Sammy Smith3.3%4%3.3% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Sammy Smith3.3%Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sammy Smith
3.3%
4%
3.3% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sammy Smith
3.3%
Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sammy Smith
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Daniel Hemric2.5%3%2.5% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Daniel Hemric2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daniel Hemric
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daniel Hemric
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hemric
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jake Garcia2.5%3%2.5% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jake Garcia2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jake Garcia
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jake Garcia
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Garcia
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $125
Stewart Friesen2.5%3%2.5% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Stewart Friesen2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Stewart Friesen
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Stewart Friesen
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stewart Friesen
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $393
Tyler Ankrum2.5%3%2.5% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tyler Ankrum2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tyler Ankrum
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tyler Ankrum
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Ankrum
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $916
Austin Green1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Austin Green1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Austin Green
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Austin Green
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Green
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Brenden Queen1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Brenden Queen1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brenden Queen
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brenden Queen
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brenden Queen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cleetus McFarland1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cleetus McFarland1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleetus McFarland
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleetus McFarland
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleetus McFarland
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Landen Lewis1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Landen Lewis1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Landen Lewis
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Landen Lewis
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landen Lewis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $235
Tanner Gray1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tanner Gray1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tanner Gray
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tanner Gray
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tanner Gray
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Thomas Annunziata1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Thomas Annunziata1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Thomas Annunziata
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Thomas Annunziata
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thomas Annunziata
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $782
Tony Stewart1.7%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tony Stewart1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tony Stewart
1.7%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tony Stewart
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Stewart
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Andres Perez de Lara1.2%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Andres Perez de Lara1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andres Perez de Lara
1.2%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andres Perez de Lara
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andres Perez de Lara
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Butcher1.2%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cole Butcher1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Butcher
1.2%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Butcher
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Butcher
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Conner Jones0.8%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Conner Jones0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Conner Jones
0.8%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Conner Jones
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Jones
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $114
Cory Roper0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cory Roper0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cory Roper
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cory Roper
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cory Roper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Dawson Sutton0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dawson Sutton0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dawson Sutton
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dawson Sutton
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dawson Sutton
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $505
Frankie Muniz0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Frankie Muniz0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Frankie Muniz
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Frankie Muniz
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frankie Muniz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Josh Reaume0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Josh Reaume0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Reaume
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Reaume
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Reaume
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kris Wright0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kris Wright0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kris Wright
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kris Wright
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kris Wright
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Mini Tyrrell0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mini Tyrrell0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mini Tyrrell
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mini Tyrrell
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mini Tyrrell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $632
Spencer Boyd0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Spencer Boyd0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Boyd
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Boyd
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Boyd
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Timmy Hill0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Timmy Hill0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timmy Hill
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timmy Hill
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timmy Hill
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bryan Dauzat0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bryan Dauzat0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryan Dauzat
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryan Dauzat
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryan Dauzat
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Clay Greenfield0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Clay Greenfield0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Clay Greenfield
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Clay Greenfield
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clay Greenfield
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jason M White0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jason M White0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jason M White
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jason M White
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jason M White
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Norm Benning0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Norm Benning0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Norm Benning
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Norm Benning
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norm Benning
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Corey Heim
- Layne Riggs
- Christian Eckes
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Love's RV Stop 225 Winner". Corey Heim leads at 12.4%. Next is Layne Riggs at 8.3%. $58K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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