The Prediction Markets

Maine Governor General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 560K 93.5%

Next is Above 620K at 90%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 560K
93.5%
Kalshi 93.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 560K
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 620K
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 620K
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 590K
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 590K
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 650K
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 650K
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 680K
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 680K
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$650
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 720K
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 720K
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$356
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 750K
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 750K
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$622
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 780K
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 780K
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 810K
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 810K
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 840K
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 840K
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 870K
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 870K
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Maine Department of the Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 560K
  • Above 620K
  • Above 590K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Maine Governor General Election: voter turnout". Above 560K leads at 93.5%. Next is Above 620K at 90%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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