Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Jackson, 1+ pts 59%
Next is Jackson, 3+ pts at 42%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jackson, 1+ pts59%Not listed59%58¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 2 min ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Jackson, 1+ pts59%Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
59%
Not listed
59%
58¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $79K
Jackson, 3+ pts42%Not listed42%40¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 2 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Jackson, 3+ pts42%Kalshi 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
42%
Not listed
42%
40¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $96K
Jackson, 2+ pts41%Not listed41%41¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Jackson, 2+ pts41%Kalshi 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
41%
Not listed
41%
41¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $1
Collins, 1+ pts29%Not listed29%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 40s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Collins, 1+ pts29%Kalshi 29%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Collins, 1+ pts
29%
Not listed
29%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Collins, 1+ pts
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $23K
Jackson, 4+ pts27%Not listed27%27¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 2 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Jackson, 4+ pts27%Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
27%
Not listed
27%
27¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $1
Collins, 2+ pts26%Not listed26%21¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 40s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Collins, 2+ pts26%Kalshi 26%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Collins, 2+ pts
26%
Not listed
26%
21¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Collins, 2+ pts
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Collins, 3+ pts25%Not listed25%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 40s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Collins, 3+ pts25%Kalshi 25%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Collins, 3+ pts
25%
Not listed
25%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Collins, 3+ pts
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $39K
Collins 0-3%22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Collins 0-3%22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Collins 0-3%
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Collins 0-3%
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 0-3%
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $206
Jackson, 5+ pts22%Not listed22%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 2 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Jackson, 5+ pts22%Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
22%
Not listed
22%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $56K
Jackson 6-9%19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Jackson 6-9%19%Polymarket 19%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Jackson 6-9%
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Jackson 6-9%
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 6-9%
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Collins, 4+ pts16%Not listed16%11¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 40s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Collins, 4+ pts16%Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Collins, 4+ pts
16%
Not listed
16%
11¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Collins, 4+ pts
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Jackson, 6+ pts16%Not listed16%16¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 2 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Jackson, 6+ pts16%Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
16%
Not listed
16%
16¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $124
Collins 3-6%15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Collins 3-6%15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 3-6%
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $89
Collins 6-9%15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Collins 6-9%15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 6-9%
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 6-9%
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 6-9%
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $302
Collins, 5+ pts14%Not listed14%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 40s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Collins, 5+ pts14%Kalshi 14%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins, 5+ pts
14%
Not listed
14%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins, 5+ pts
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $26K
Jackson, 7+ pts13%Not listed13%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 2 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jackson, 7+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $24K
Jackson 9-12%12.5%12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Jackson 9-12%12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jackson 9-12%
12.5%
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Jackson 9-12%
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 9-12%
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $932
Collins, 6+ pts10.1%Not listed10.1%5.2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 40s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Collins, 6+ pts10.1%Kalshi 10.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Collins, 6+ pts
10.1%
Not listed
10.1%
5.2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Collins, 6+ pts
10.1%
Kalshi 10.1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 10.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Collins, 7+ pts9.6%Not listed9.6%5.1¢ bid, 9.6¢ askpolled, 40s ago9.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)Collins, 7+ pts9.6%Kalshi 9.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.6%
Not listed
9.6%
5.1¢ bid, 9.6¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
9.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.6%
Kalshi 9.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 9.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,042 (10.4x)
- Volume
- $24K
Jackson, 9+ pts9.4%Not listed9.4%9.4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jackson, 9+ pts9.4%Kalshi 9.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
9.4%
Not listed
9.4%
9.4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
9.4%
Kalshi 9.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 9+ pts
- Last price
- 9.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $14K
Jackson 3-6%9.3%9.3%7.8¢ bid, 10.7¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed10.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $935 (9.35x)Jackson 3-6%9.3%Polymarket 9.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 10.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $935 (9.35x)
Jackson 3-6%
9.3%
9.3%
7.8¢ bid, 10.7¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
10.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $935 (9.35x)
Jackson 3-6%
9.3%
Polymarket 9.3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 10.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $935 (9.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 3-6%
- Last price
- 9.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $935 (9.35x)
- Volume
- $135
Jackson 0-3%9%9%7.7¢ bid, 10.3¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed10.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $971 (9.71x)Jackson 0-3%9%Polymarket 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Jackson 0-3%
9%
9%
7.7¢ bid, 10.3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
10.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Jackson 0-3%
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 0-3%
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $971 (9.71x)
- Volume
- $161
Collins, 8+ pts6.4%Not listed6.4%5.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 40s ago6.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Collins, 8+ pts6.4%Kalshi 6.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.4%
Not listed
6.4%
5.1¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
6.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.4%
Kalshi 6.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jackson, 8+ pts6.1%Not listed6.1%5.9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 2 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Jackson, 8+ pts6.1%Kalshi 6.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
6.1%
Not listed
6.1%
5.9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
6.1%
Kalshi 6.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $0
Jackson, 11+ pts5.1%Not listed5.1%5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Jackson, 11+ pts5.1%Kalshi 5.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
5.1%
Not listed
5.1%
5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
5.1%
Kalshi 5.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Not listed4.9%2.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Kalshi 4.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Not listed
4.9%
2.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Kalshi 4.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 13+ pts
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Not listed3.9%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Kalshi 3.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Not listed
3.9%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Kalshi 3.9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 12+ pts
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $824
Jackson 12%+3.4%3.4%0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Jackson 12%+3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Jackson 12%+
3.4%
3.4%
0.3¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Jackson 12%+
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 12%+
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $105
Collins 9-12%1.8%1.8%0.3¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed3.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)Collins 9-12%1.8%Polymarket 1.8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Collins 9-12%
1.8%
1.8%
0.3¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
3.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Collins 9-12%
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 9-12%
- Last price
- 1.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $121
Collins 12%+1.6%1.6%0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Collins 12%+1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Collins 12%+
1.6%
1.6%
0.3¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Collins 12%+
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 12%+
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $254
Collins, 10+ pts1.5%Not listed1.5%1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 40s ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Collins, 10+ pts1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
1.5%
Not listed
1.5%
1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 10+ pts
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $233
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Maine Department of the Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Jackson, 3+ pts
- Jackson, 2+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Jackson, 1+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Maine Senate margin of victory". Jackson, 1+ pts leads at 59%. Next is Jackson, 3+ pts at 42%. $396K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More politics markets
See all politics markets- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.6%$1.3B traded
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance44.1%$715.9M traded
- 2028 Democratic nominee for President?Jon Ossoff15%$245.9M traded
- Netanyahu out by...?December 3140.5%$124.6M traded
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro76.6%$98.7M traded
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. Vance21%$76.0M traded