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What the markets expect
Jackson, 1+ pts 58%
Next is Jackson, 2+ pts at 43%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jackson, 1+ pts58%Not listed58%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 32s ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Jackson, 1+ pts58%Kalshi 58%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
58%
Not listed
58%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $79K
Jackson, 2+ pts43%Not listed43%43¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 32s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Jackson, 2+ pts43%Kalshi 43%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
43%
Not listed
43%
43¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
Jackson, 3+ pts42%Not listed42%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 32s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Jackson, 3+ pts42%Kalshi 42%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
42%
Not listed
42%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $96K
Collins, 1+ pts29%Not listed29%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 32s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Collins, 1+ pts29%Kalshi 29%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Collins, 1+ pts
29%
Not listed
29%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Collins, 1+ pts
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $23K
Jackson, 4+ pts28%Not listed28%28¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 32s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Jackson, 4+ pts28%Kalshi 28%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
28%
Not listed
28%
28¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Collins, 2+ pts24%Not listed24%18¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 32s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Collins, 2+ pts24%Kalshi 24%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Collins, 2+ pts
24%
Not listed
24%
18¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Collins, 2+ pts
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Collins, 3+ pts24%Not listed24%21¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 32s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Collins, 3+ pts24%Kalshi 24%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Collins, 3+ pts
24%
Not listed
24%
21¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Collins, 3+ pts
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $39K
Collins 0-3%22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Collins 0-3%22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Collins 0-3%
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Collins 0-3%
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 0-3%
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $161
Jackson, 5+ pts22%Not listed22%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 32s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Jackson, 5+ pts22%Kalshi 22%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
22%
Not listed
22%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $56K
Jackson 6-9%19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Jackson 6-9%19%Polymarket 19%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Jackson 6-9%
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Jackson 6-9%
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 6-9%
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Jackson, 6+ pts17%Not listed17%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 32s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Jackson, 6+ pts17%Kalshi 17%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
17%
Not listed
17%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Collins 3-6%15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Collins 3-6%15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 3-6%
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $50
Collins 6-9%15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Collins 6-9%15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Collins 6-9%
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Collins 6-9%
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 6-9%
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $262
Jackson 9-12%14.5%14.5%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Jackson 9-12%14.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson 9-12%
14.5%
14.5%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson 9-12%
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 9-12%
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $893
Collins, 4+ pts13.6%Not listed13.6%8.1¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 32s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Collins, 4+ pts13.6%Kalshi 13.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Collins, 4+ pts
13.6%
Not listed
13.6%
8.1¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Collins, 4+ pts
13.6%
Kalshi 13.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 13.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Collins, 5+ pts13%Not listed13%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 32s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Collins, 5+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Collins, 5+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Collins, 5+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $26K
Jackson, 7+ pts13%Not listed13%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 32s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jackson, 7+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $24K
Jackson 3-6%12.9%12.9%6.1¢ bid, 19.7¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed19.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $508 (5.08x)Jackson 3-6%12.9%Polymarket 12.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $508 (5.08x)
Jackson 3-6%
12.9%
12.9%
6.1¢ bid, 19.7¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
19.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $508 (5.08x)
Jackson 3-6%
12.9%
Polymarket 12.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $508 (5.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 3-6%
- Last price
- 12.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $508 (5.08x)
- Volume
- $85
Jackson 0-3%12.3%12.3%6.5¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Jackson 0-3%12.3%Polymarket 12.3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson 0-3%
12.3%
12.3%
6.5¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson 0-3%
12.3%
Polymarket 12.3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 0-3%
- Last price
- 12.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $122
Collins, 7+ pts9.5%Not listed9.5%5.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ askpolled, 32s ago9.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)Collins, 7+ pts9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.5%
Not listed
9.5%
5.1¢ bid, 9.5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
9.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,053 (10.5x)
- Volume
- $24K
Jackson, 9+ pts9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 32s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Jackson, 9+ pts9%Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 9+ pts
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $14K
Jackson, 11+ pts7.8%Not listed7.8%5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 32s ago7.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Jackson, 11+ pts7.8%Kalshi 7.8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
7.8%
Not listed
7.8%
5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
7.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
7.8%
Kalshi 7.8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 7.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Collins, 6+ pts6.6%Not listed6.6%1.1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 32s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Collins, 6+ pts6.6%Kalshi 6.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Collins, 6+ pts
6.6%
Not listed
6.6%
1.1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Collins, 6+ pts
6.6%
Kalshi 6.6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 6.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Collins, 8+ pts6.4%Not listed6.4%5.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 32s ago6.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Collins, 8+ pts6.4%Kalshi 6.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.4%
Not listed
6.4%
5.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
6.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.4%
Kalshi 6.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jackson, 8+ pts6.1%Not listed6.1%5.9¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 32s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Jackson, 8+ pts6.1%Kalshi 6.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
6.1%
Not listed
6.1%
5.9¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
6.1%
Kalshi 6.1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Not listed4.9%2.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 32s ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Kalshi 4.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Not listed
4.9%
2.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Kalshi 4.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 13+ pts
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
Collins 9-12%4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Collins 9-12%4%Polymarket 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Collins 9-12%
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Collins 9-12%
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 9-12%
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $71
Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Not listed3.9%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 32s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Kalshi 3.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Not listed
3.9%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Kalshi 3.9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 12+ pts
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $824
Collins 12%+3.4%3.4%0.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed6.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Collins 12%+3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Collins 12%+
3.4%
3.4%
0.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
6.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Collins 12%+
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 12%+
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $215
Jackson 12%+3.3%3.3%1¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 32s agoNot listed5.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Jackson 12%+3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jackson 12%+
3.3%
3.3%
1¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
Not listed
5.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jackson 12%+
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 12%+
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $45
Collins, 10+ pts1.5%Not listed1.5%1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 32s ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Collins, 10+ pts1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
1.5%
Not listed
1.5%
1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 32s ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 10+ pts
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $233
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Maine Department of the Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Jackson, 2+ pts
- Jackson, 3+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Jackson, 1+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Maine Senate margin of victory". Jackson, 1+ pts leads at 58%. Next is Jackson, 2+ pts at 43%. $395K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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