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What the markets expect
Jackson, 1+ pts 58%
Next is Jackson, 2+ pts at 51%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jackson, 1+ pts58%Not listed58%58¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, just now60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Jackson, 1+ pts58%Kalshi 58%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
58%
Not listed
58%
58¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, just now
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Jackson, 1+ pts
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $80K
Jackson, 2+ pts51%Not listed51%45¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, just now51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Jackson, 2+ pts51%Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
51%
Not listed
51%
45¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, just now
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Jackson, 2+ pts
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $442
Jackson, 3+ pts38%Not listed38%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, just now41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Jackson, 3+ pts38%Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
38%
Not listed
38%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, just now
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Jackson, 3+ pts
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $97K
Jackson, 4+ pts34%Not listed34%34¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Jackson, 4+ pts34%Kalshi 34%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
34%
Not listed
34%
34¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jackson, 4+ pts
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $26
Collins, 2+ pts33.5%Not listed33.5%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Collins, 2+ pts33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Collins, 2+ pts
33.5%
Not listed
33.5%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Collins, 2+ pts
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Collins, 1+ pts33%Not listed33%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Collins, 1+ pts33%Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Collins, 1+ pts
33%
Not listed
33%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Collins, 1+ pts
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $23K
Collins, 3+ pts24%Not listed24%23¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, just now28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Collins, 3+ pts24%Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Collins, 3+ pts
24%
Not listed
24%
23¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, just now
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Collins, 3+ pts
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $39K
Collins, 4+ pts24%Not listed24%16¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, just now24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Collins, 4+ pts24%Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Collins, 4+ pts
24%
Not listed
24%
16¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, just now
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Collins, 4+ pts
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $292
Jackson, 5+ pts23%Not listed23%21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Jackson, 5+ pts23%Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
23%
Not listed
23%
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Jackson, 5+ pts
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $59K
Jackson, 6+ pts23%Not listed23%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, just now24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Jackson, 6+ pts23%Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
23%
Not listed
23%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, just now
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Jackson, 6+ pts
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $852
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Jackson, 7+ pts22%Not listed22%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Jackson, 7+ pts22%Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
22%
Not listed
22%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Jackson, 7+ pts
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $28K
Jackson 6-9%17%17%16¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Jackson 6-9%17%Polymarket 17%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson 6-9%
17%
17%
16¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson 6-9%
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 6-9%
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1K
Troy Jackson, 0-2%17%Not listed17%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 7 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Troy Jackson, 0-2%17%Kalshi 17%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Troy Jackson, 0-2%
17%
Not listed
17%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Troy Jackson, 0-2%
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Troy Jackson, 0-2%
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $278
Jackson 3-6%17%17%16.5¢ bid, 17.4¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed17.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $575 (5.75x)Jackson 3-6%17%Polymarket 17%polled, just nowBest Yes 17.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $575 (5.75x)
Jackson 3-6%
17%
17%
16.5¢ bid, 17.4¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
17.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $575 (5.75x)
Jackson 3-6%
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, just nowBest Yes 17.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $575 (5.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 3-6%
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 16.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $575 (5.75x)
- Volume
- $234
Collins, 6+ pts16%Not listed16%8.6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Collins, 6+ pts16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Collins, 6+ pts
16%
Not listed
16%
8.6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Collins, 6+ pts
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $11
Susan Collins, 0-2%16%Not listed16%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 7 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Susan Collins, 0-2%16%Kalshi 16%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Susan Collins, 0-2%
16%
Not listed
16%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Susan Collins, 0-2%
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susan Collins, 0-2%
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $590
Collins 6-9%15%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Collins 6-9%15%Polymarket 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 6-9%
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 6-9%
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 6-9%
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $409
Jackson 0-3%15%15%14.5¢ bid, 15.5¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed15.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $645 (6.45x)Jackson 0-3%15%Polymarket 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 15.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $645 (6.45x)
Jackson 0-3%
15%
15%
14.5¢ bid, 15.5¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
15.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $645 (6.45x)
Jackson 0-3%
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 15.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $645 (6.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 0-3%
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 14.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $645 (6.45x)
- Volume
- $592
Collins 3-6%14.5%14.5%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Collins 3-6%14.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
14.5%
14.5%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Collins 3-6%
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 3-6%
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $654
Collins 0-3%13%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Collins 0-3%13%Polymarket 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins 0-3%
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins 0-3%
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 0-3%
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $1K
Jackson, 8+ pts13%Not listed13%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, just now18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Jackson, 8+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, just now
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jackson, 8+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1
Susan Collins, 2-4%13%Not listed13%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 7 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Susan Collins, 2-4%13%Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Susan Collins, 2-4%
13%
Not listed
13%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Susan Collins, 2-4%
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susan Collins, 2-4%
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $725
Troy Jackson, 2-4%13%Not listed13%10¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 7 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Troy Jackson, 2-4%13%Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Troy Jackson, 2-4%
13%
Not listed
13%
10¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Troy Jackson, 2-4%
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Troy Jackson, 2-4%
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Collins, 5+ pts11%Not listed11%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Collins, 5+ pts11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins, 5+ pts
11%
Not listed
11%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Collins, 5+ pts
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $26K
Jackson 9-12%11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Jackson 9-12%11%Polymarket 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jackson 9-12%
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jackson 9-12%
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 9-12%
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Troy Jackson, 4-6%10%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 7 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Troy Jackson, 4-6%10%Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Troy Jackson, 4-6%
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Troy Jackson, 4-6%
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Troy Jackson, 4-6%
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Troy Jackson, 6-8%9.5%Not listed9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 7 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Troy Jackson, 6-8%9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Troy Jackson, 6-8%
9.5%
Not listed
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Troy Jackson, 6-8%
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Troy Jackson, 6-8%
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Collins, 7+ pts9.4%Not listed9.4%7¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, just now9.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)Collins, 7+ pts9.4%Kalshi 9.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.4%
Not listed
9.4%
7¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, just now
9.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Collins, 7+ pts
9.4%
Kalshi 9.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 9.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $24K
Susan Collins, 4-6%9%Not listed9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 7 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Susan Collins, 4-6%9%Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Susan Collins, 4-6%
9%
Not listed
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Susan Collins, 4-6%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susan Collins, 4-6%
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $522
Jackson, 9+ pts8.9%Not listed8.9%8.9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Jackson, 9+ pts8.9%Kalshi 8.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
8.9%
Not listed
8.9%
8.9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Jackson, 9+ pts
8.9%
Kalshi 8.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 9+ pts
- Last price
- 8.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $14K
Collins, 8+ pts6.8%Not listed6.8%3.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, just now6.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Collins, 8+ pts6.8%Kalshi 6.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.8%
Not listed
6.8%
3.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, just now
6.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Collins, 8+ pts
6.8%
Kalshi 6.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 6.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $6K
Troy Jackson, ≥8%6%Not listed6%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 7 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Troy Jackson, ≥8%6%Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Troy Jackson, ≥8%
6%
Not listed
6%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Troy Jackson, ≥8%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Troy Jackson, ≥8%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Jackson, 11+ pts5.1%Not listed5.1%5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, just now7.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Jackson, 11+ pts5.1%Kalshi 5.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
5.1%
Not listed
5.1%
5.1¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, just now
7.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Jackson, 11+ pts
5.1%
Kalshi 5.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 11+ pts
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Susan Collins, ≥8%5%Not listed5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 7 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Susan Collins, ≥8%5%Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Susan Collins, ≥8%
5%
Not listed
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Susan Collins, ≥8%
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susan Collins, ≥8%
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $941
Susan Collins, 6-8%5%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 7 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Susan Collins, 6-8%5%Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Susan Collins, 6-8%
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 7 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Susan Collins, 6-8%
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susan Collins, 6-8%
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 7 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $938
Collins, 10+ pts4.9%Not listed4.9%1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, just now4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Collins, 10+ pts4.9%Kalshi 4.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
4.9%
Not listed
4.9%
1.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, just now
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 10+ pts
4.9%
Kalshi 4.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 10+ pts
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $616
Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Not listed4.9%2.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, just now4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Jackson, 13+ pts4.9%Kalshi 4.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Not listed
4.9%
2.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, just now
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Jackson, 13+ pts
4.9%
Kalshi 4.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson, 13+ pts
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Not listed3.9%1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, just now4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Collins, 12+ pts3.9%Kalshi 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Not listed
3.9%
1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, just now
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Collins, 12+ pts
3.9%
Kalshi 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Collins, 12+ pts
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $824
Collins 9-12%2.4%2.4%0.5¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Collins 9-12%2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Collins 9-12%
2.4%
2.4%
0.5¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Collins 9-12%
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 9-12%
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $254
Collins 12%+1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Collins 12%+1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Collins 12%+
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Collins 12%+
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Collins 12%+
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $351
Jackson 12%+0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jackson 12%+0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jackson 12%+
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jackson 12%+
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jackson 12%+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $201
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Maine Department of the Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jackson, 1+ pts
- Jackson, 2+ pts
- Jackson, 3+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Jackson, 1+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Maine Senate: margin of victory". Jackson, 1+ pts leads at 58%. Next is Jackson, 2+ pts at 51%. $417K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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