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What the markets expect
Anthony Caci: 1+ 99%
Next is Lee Jae-sung: 1+ at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Anthony Caci: 1+99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 48s agoNo askAnthony Caci: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Anthony Caci: 1+
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 48s ago
No ask
Anthony Caci: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Caci: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $20
Lee Jae-sung: 1+99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 48s agoNo askLee Jae-sung: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Lee Jae-sung: 1+
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 48s ago
No ask
Lee Jae-sung: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lee Jae-sung: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $17
Ludovit Reis: 1+99%Not listed99%12¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 48s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ludovit Reis: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ludovit Reis: 1+
99%
Not listed
99%
12¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ludovit Reis: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ludovit Reis: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Niclas Fullkrug: 1+99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 48s agoNo askNiclas Fullkrug: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Niclas Fullkrug: 1+
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 48s ago
No ask
Niclas Fullkrug: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Niclas Fullkrug: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $708
Niclas Fullkrug: 2+99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 48s agoNo askNiclas Fullkrug: 2+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Niclas Fullkrug: 2+
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 48s ago
No ask
Niclas Fullkrug: 2+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Niclas Fullkrug: 2+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $101
SV Werder Bremen67.5%67.5%67¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed68¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $147 (1.47x)SV Werder Bremen67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
SV Werder Bremen
67.5%
67.5%
67¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
68¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
SV Werder Bremen
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SV Werder Bremen
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $58K
1. FSV Mainz 05Polymarket: “Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen)”26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)1. FSV Mainz 0526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
1. FSV Mainz 05
Polymarket: “Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen)”
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
1. FSV Mainz 05
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen)
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $65K
Phillip Tietz: 1+20%Not listed20%3¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 48s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Phillip Tietz: 1+20%Kalshi 20%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Phillip Tietz: 1+
20%
Not listed
20%
3¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Phillip Tietz: 1+
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phillip Tietz: 1+
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $85
Sheraldo Becker: 1+15%Not listed15%4¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 48s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Sheraldo Becker: 1+15%Kalshi 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Sheraldo Becker: 1+
15%
Not listed
15%
4¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Sheraldo Becker: 1+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sheraldo Becker: 1+
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Nadiem Amiri: 1+13%Not listed13%2¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 48s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Nadiem Amiri: 1+13%Kalshi 13%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Nadiem Amiri: 1+
13%
Not listed
13%
2¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Nadiem Amiri: 1+
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadiem Amiri: 1+
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $223
Show 27 more outcomesHide 27 outcomes
Niclas Fullkrug: 3+9%Not listed9%5¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 48s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Niclas Fullkrug: 3+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Niclas Fullkrug: 3+
9%
Not listed
9%
5¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Niclas Fullkrug: 3+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Niclas Fullkrug: 3+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $288
1. FSV Mainz 057.5%7.5%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)1. FSV Mainz 057.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
1. FSV Mainz 05
7.5%
7.5%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
1. FSV Mainz 05
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $272K
Chuki: 1+7%Not listed7%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 48s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Chuki: 1+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chuki: 1+
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chuki: 1+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chuki: 1+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Kaishu Sano: 1+7%Not listed7%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 48s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Kaishu Sano: 1+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kaishu Sano: 1+
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kaishu Sano: 1+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaishu Sano: 1+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $235
Lee Jae-sung: 2+6%Not listed6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 48s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Lee Jae-sung: 2+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Lee Jae-sung: 2+
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Lee Jae-sung: 2+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lee Jae-sung: 2+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Ludovit Reis: 2+6%Not listed6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 48s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ludovit Reis: 2+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ludovit Reis: 2+
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ludovit Reis: 2+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ludovit Reis: 2+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2
Marco Grull: 1+4%Not listed4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 48s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Marco Grull: 1+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Marco Grull: 1+
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Marco Grull: 1+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Grull: 1+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Anthony Caci: 2+3.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 48s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Anthony Caci: 2+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Anthony Caci: 2+
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Anthony Caci: 2+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Caci: 2+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Philipp Mwene: 1+3.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 48s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Philipp Mwene: 1+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Philipp Mwene: 1+
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Philipp Mwene: 1+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philipp Mwene: 1+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Danny da Costa: 1+3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 48s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Danny da Costa: 1+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Danny da Costa: 1+
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Danny da Costa: 1+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danny da Costa: 1+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Kacper Potulski: 1+3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 48s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Kacper Potulski: 1+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kacper Potulski: 1+
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kacper Potulski: 1+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kacper Potulski: 1+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Stefan Posch: 1+3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 48s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Stefan Posch: 1+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Stefan Posch: 1+
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Stefan Posch: 1+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stefan Posch: 1+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Amos Pieper: 1+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 48s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Amos Pieper: 1+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Amos Pieper: 1+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Amos Pieper: 1+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amos Pieper: 1+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Arthur: 1+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 48s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Arthur: 1+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Arthur: 1+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Arthur: 1+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arthur: 1+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Marco Friedl: 1+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 48s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Marco Friedl: 1+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marco Friedl: 1+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marco Friedl: 1+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Friedl: 1+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Youri Regeer: 1+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 48s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Youri Regeer: 1+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Youri Regeer: 1+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Youri Regeer: 1+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Youri Regeer: 1+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Marco Grull: 2+2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 48s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Marco Grull: 2+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Marco Grull: 2+
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Marco Grull: 2+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Grull: 2+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 2+2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 48s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Nadiem Amiri: 2+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 2+
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 2+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadiem Amiri: 2+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 2+2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 48s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Phillip Tietz: 2+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 2+
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 2+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phillip Tietz: 2+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 2+2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 48s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Sheraldo Becker: 2+2%Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 2+
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 2+
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sheraldo Becker: 2+
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Marco Grull: 3+1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 48s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Marco Grull: 3+1%Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marco Grull: 3+
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marco Grull: 3+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Grull: 3+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 3+1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 48s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nadiem Amiri: 3+1%Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 3+
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nadiem Amiri: 3+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nadiem Amiri: 3+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 3+1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 48s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Phillip Tietz: 3+1%Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 3+
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Phillip Tietz: 3+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phillip Tietz: 3+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 3+1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 48s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Sheraldo Becker: 3+1%Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 3+
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sheraldo Becker: 3+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sheraldo Becker: 3+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Mitchell Weiser: 1+0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 48s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mitchell Weiser: 1+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitchell Weiser: 1+
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitchell Weiser: 1+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mitchell Weiser: 1+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Mitchell Weiser: 2+0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 48s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mitchell Weiser: 2+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitchell Weiser: 2+
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mitchell Weiser: 2+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mitchell Weiser: 2+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Olivier Deman: 1+0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 48s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Olivier Deman: 1+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Olivier Deman: 1+
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Olivier Deman: 1+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olivier Deman: 1+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: bundesliga.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Anthony Caci: 1+
- Lee Jae-sung: 1+
- Ludovit Reis: 1+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Anthony Caci: 1+ for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Mainz vs Bremen: Goalscorer". Anthony Caci: 1+ leads at 99%. Next is Lee Jae-sung: 1+ at 99%. $397K has traded across 37 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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