The Prediction Markets

maybe vs. Sokerorg

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$40K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100%

Next is Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 at 100%. The venues differ most on Sokerorg (Polymarket 44.5%, Kalshi 61%), a 16-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Winner
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs Sökerorg (+3.5)
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs Sökerorg (+3.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-6.5) vs Sökerorg (+6.5)
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-6.5) vs Sökerorg (+6.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
SokerorgArb
48.6%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 42s agoKalshi 61%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sokerorg
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 47¢ and selling on Kalshi at 61¢ nets 1400 bps before fees.

Show 13 more outcomes
maybe
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
maybe
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs Sökerorg (+3.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs Sökerorg (+3.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-9.5) vs Sökerorg (+9.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-9.5) vs Sökerorg (+9.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-9.5) vs Sökerorg (+9.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-9.5) vs Sökerorg (+9.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-3.5) vs maybe (+3.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sökerorg (-6.5) vs maybe (+6.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Winner
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: maybe (-1.5) vs Sökerorg (+1.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: maybe (-1.5) vs Sökerorg (+1.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: SKR (-1.5) vs maybe (+1.5)
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: SKR (-1.5) vs maybe (+1.5)
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Sokerorg on Polymarket at 47¢, sell on Kalshi at 61¢ (1400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: twitch.tv
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "maybe vs. Sokerorg". Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 leads at 100%. Next is Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 at 100%. $40K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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