The Prediction Markets

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC

Starts in 22 hKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Melbourne Victory FC 37.3%

Next is Melbourne Victory FC at 35.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Melbourne Victory FC 37.3%Melbourne Victory FC 35.8%Draw (Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC) 26.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC
37.3%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Melbourne Victory FC
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Melbourne Victory FC
35.8%
Polymarket 36%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Melbourne City FC
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC)
26.9%
Polymarket 27%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC)
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: a-league.com.au

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Melbourne Victory FC
  • Melbourne Victory FC
  • Draw (Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC". Melbourne Victory FC leads at 37.3%. Next is Melbourne Victory FC at 35.8%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City FC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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