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What the markets expect
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points 56%
Next is Golden State wins by over 2.5 points at 53%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 46s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Golden State wins by over 1.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Golden State wins by over 2.5 points53%53%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 46s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Golden State wins by over 2.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $607
Golden State wins by over 3.5 points50%50%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 46s ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Golden State wins by over 3.5 points50%Kalshi 50%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Golden State wins by over 3.5 points
50%
50%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Golden State wins by over 3.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $16K
Golden State wins by over 4.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 46s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Golden State wins by over 4.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Golden State wins by over 4.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Golden State wins by over 4.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $11
Golden State wins by over 5.5 points41%41%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 46s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Golden State wins by over 5.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Golden State wins by over 5.5 points
41%
41%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Golden State wins by over 5.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $1
Memphis wins by over 1.5 points39.5%39.5%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 46s ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Memphis wins by over 1.5 points39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Memphis wins by over 1.5 points
39.5%
39.5%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Memphis wins by over 1.5 points
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points38.5%38.5%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 46s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Golden State wins by over 6.5 points38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
38.5%
38.5%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Memphis wins by over 2.5 points37%37%36¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 46s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Memphis wins by over 2.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Memphis wins by over 2.5 points
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Memphis wins by over 2.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Golden State wins by over 7.5 points35%35%34¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 46s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Golden State wins by over 7.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Golden State wins by over 7.5 points
35%
35%
34¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Golden State wins by over 7.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Memphis wins by over 3.5 points34.5%34.5%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 46s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Memphis wins by over 3.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Memphis wins by over 3.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Memphis wins by over 3.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Golden State wins by over 8.5 points31.5%31.5%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 46s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Golden State wins by over 8.5 points31.5%Kalshi 31.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State wins by over 8.5 points
31.5%
31.5%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State wins by over 8.5 points
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 8.5 points
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Golden State wins by over 9.5 points30.5%30.5%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 46s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Golden State wins by over 9.5 points30.5%Kalshi 30.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State wins by over 9.5 points
30.5%
30.5%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Golden State wins by over 9.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Memphis wins by over 5.5 points28.5%28.5%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 46s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Memphis wins by over 5.5 points28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Memphis wins by over 5.5 points
28.5%
28.5%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Memphis wins by over 5.5 points
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Golden State wins by over 10.5 points27.5%27.5%26¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 46s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Golden State wins by over 10.5 points27.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Golden State wins by over 10.5 points
27.5%
27.5%
26¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Golden State wins by over 10.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Memphis wins by over 7.5 points23.5%23.5%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 46s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Memphis wins by over 7.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Memphis wins by over 7.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Memphis wins by over 7.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Golden State wins by over 12.5 points23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 46s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Golden State wins by over 12.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Golden State wins by over 12.5 points
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Golden State wins by over 12.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Golden State wins by over 14.5 points19.5%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 46s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Golden State wins by over 14.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Golden State wins by over 14.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Golden State wins by over 14.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Memphis wins by over 9.5 points18%18%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 46s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Memphis wins by over 9.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Memphis wins by over 9.5 points
18%
18%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Memphis wins by over 9.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $4
Memphis wins by over 11.5 points14.5%14.5%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 46s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Memphis wins by over 11.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Memphis wins by over 11.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Memphis wins by over 11.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Golden State wins by over 16.5 points14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 46s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Golden State wins by over 16.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Golden State wins by over 16.5 points
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Golden State wins by over 16.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Memphis wins by over 13.5 points11.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 46s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Memphis wins by over 13.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Memphis wins by over 13.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Memphis wins by over 13.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Golden State wins by over 18.5 points11%11%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 46s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Golden State wins by over 18.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Golden State wins by over 18.5 points
11%
11%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Golden State wins by over 18.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 18.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Golden State wins by over 20.5 points8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 46s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Golden State wins by over 20.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Golden State wins by over 20.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Golden State wins by over 20.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Memphis wins by over 15.5 points7%7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 46s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Memphis wins by over 15.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Memphis wins by over 15.5 points
7%
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Memphis wins by over 15.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 15.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $320
Golden State wins by over 22.5 points6%6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 46s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Golden State wins by over 22.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Golden State wins by over 22.5 points
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Golden State wins by over 22.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 22.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $298
Memphis wins by over 17.5 points6%6%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 46s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Memphis wins by over 17.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Memphis wins by over 17.5 points
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Memphis wins by over 17.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $200
Memphis wins by over 19.5 points5.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 46s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Memphis wins by over 19.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Memphis wins by over 19.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Memphis wins by over 19.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Golden State wins by over 24.5 points5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 46s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Golden State wins by over 24.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Golden State wins by over 24.5 points
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Golden State wins by over 24.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $433
Golden State wins by over 26.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 46s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Golden State wins by over 26.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Golden State wins by over 26.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Golden State wins by over 26.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 26.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Memphis wins by over 21.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 46s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Memphis wins by over 21.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Memphis wins by over 21.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Memphis wins by over 21.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Golden State wins by over 28.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Golden State wins by over 28.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Golden State wins by over 28.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Golden State wins by over 28.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 28.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Golden State wins by over 30.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Golden State wins by over 30.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Golden State wins by over 30.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Golden State wins by over 30.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Memphis wins by over 23.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Memphis wins by over 23.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Memphis wins by over 23.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Memphis wins by over 23.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Golden State wins by over 1.5 points
- Golden State wins by over 2.5 points
- Golden State wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Memphis vs Golden State: Spread". Golden State wins by over 1.5 points leads at 56%. Next is Golden State wins by over 2.5 points at 53%. $18K has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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