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What the markets expect
Over 29.5 points 86.5%
Next is Over 33.5 points at 79%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 29.5 points86.5%86.5%75¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 29.5 points86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 29.5 points
86.5%
86.5%
75¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 29.5 points
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 29.5 points
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 33.5 points79%79%61¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 33.5 points79%Kalshi 79%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 33.5 points
79%
79%
61¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 33.5 points
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 37.5 points74%74%58¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, just now90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 37.5 points74%Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 37.5 points
74%
74%
58¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, just now
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 37.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 37.5 points
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 41.5 points69%69%65¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, just now73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 41.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 41.5 points
69%
69%
65¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, just now
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 41.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Over 45.5 points58%58%56¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, just now60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Over 45.5 points58%Kalshi 58%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 45.5 points
58%
58%
56¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, just now
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 45.5 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Over 49.5 points51%51%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, just now51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 49.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 49.5 points
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, just now
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 49.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $3K
Over 53.5 points38%38%36¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, just now40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Over 53.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 53.5 points
38%
38%
36¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, just now
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 53.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Over 57.5 points33%33%27¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, just now33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Over 57.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Over 57.5 points
33%
33%
27¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, just now
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Over 57.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Over 61.5 points25%25%15¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, just now35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 61.5 points25%Kalshi 25%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 61.5 points
25%
25%
15¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, just now
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 61.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 61.5 points
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Over 69.5 points21%21%6¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Over 69.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 69.5 points
21%
21%
6¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 69.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 69.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Over 65.5 points15.5%15.5%8¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 65.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 65.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
8¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 65.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 29.5 points
- Over 33.5 points
- Over 37.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Mercyhurst vs Robert Morris: Total Points". Over 29.5 points leads at 86.5%. Next is Over 33.5 points at 79%. $3K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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