The Prediction Markets

Meta (META) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 4 hours
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

660 74.9%

Next is 660-$670 at 4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

660 74.9%660-$670 4%680-$690 2.5%670-$680 2.4%690-$700 2.4%6 others 13.8%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
660
74.9%
Polymarket 94.5%(74.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
660
Last price
94.5%
Fair, margin removed
74.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$775
Trade this on Polymarket
660-$670
4%
Polymarket 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
660-$670
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
680-$690
2.5%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
680-$690
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
670-$680
2.4%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
670-$680
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
690-$700
2.4%
Polymarket 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
690-$700
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
700-$710
2.3%
Polymarket 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
700-$710
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
710-$720
2.3%
Polymarket 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
710-$720
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
720-$730
2.3%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
720-$730
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
730-$740
2.3%
Polymarket 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
730-$740
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
740-$750
2.3%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
740-$750
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
750
2.3%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
750
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 660
  • 660-$670
  • 680-$690

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Meta (META) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?". 660 leads at 74.9%. Next is 660-$670 at 4%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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