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What the markets expect
Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points 56%
Next is Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points at 54%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points56%56%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, just now57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points
56%
56%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, just now
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, just nowBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $294
Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points54%54%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, just now55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points
54%
54%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, just now
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $15K
Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, just now48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, just now
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, just nowBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $5K
Miami (OH) wins by over 4.5 points44%44%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just now45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Miami (OH) wins by over 4.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 4.5 points
44%
44%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 4.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $7K
Miami (OH) wins by over 5.5 points42%42%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, just now43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Miami (OH) wins by over 5.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 5.5 points
42%
42%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, just now
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 5.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points40%40%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, just now40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, just now
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $2K
Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points40%40%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, just now40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, just now
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $1
Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points38%38%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, just now39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, just now
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $1K
Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 points34.5%34.5%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, just now35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, just now
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points32.5%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, just now33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
32.5%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, just now
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Miami (OH) wins by over 7.5 points32%32%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, just now33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Miami (OH) wins by over 7.5 points32%Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 7.5 points
32%
32%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, just now
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 7.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $150
Miami (OH) wins by over 9.5 points29.5%29.5%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, just now30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Miami (OH) wins by over 9.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 9.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, just now
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 9.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, just now29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, just now
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $0
Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 points27.5%27.5%27¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, just now28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 points27.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
27.5%
27.5%
27¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, just now
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 10.5 points26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, just now27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Miami (OH) wins by over 10.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 10.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, just now
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 10.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 11.5 points24%24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, just now25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Miami (OH) wins by over 11.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 11.5 points
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, just now
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 11.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 points22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, just now23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 points22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, just now
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 13.5 points21%21%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Miami (OH) wins by over 13.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 13.5 points
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 13.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 points18%18%17¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just now19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points18%18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, just now18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, just now
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $65
Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 points16.5%16.5%16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 16.5 points16%16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Miami (OH) wins by over 16.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 16.5 points
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Miami (OH) wins by over 16.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH) wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 points15.5%15.5%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 points13.5%13.5%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 points8.5%8.5%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Central Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points
- Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points
- Miami (OH) wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan: Spread". Miami (OH) wins by over 1.5 points leads at 56%. Next is Miami (OH) wins by over 2.5 points at 54%. $34K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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