The Prediction Markets

Miami vs Charlotte: 1st Quarter Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Miami wins by over 1.5 points 49%

Next is Miami wins by over 3.5 points at 41%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Miami wins by over 1.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami wins by over 3.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 1.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 2.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami wins by over 5.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 4.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami wins by over 7.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 6.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 8.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte wins by over 10.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Miami wins by over 9.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami wins by over 11.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami wins by over 13.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami wins by over 1.5 points
  • Miami wins by over 3.5 points
  • Charlotte wins by over 1.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Miami vs Charlotte: 1st Quarter Spread". Miami wins by over 1.5 points leads at 49%. Next is Miami wins by over 3.5 points at 41%. $3K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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