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What the markets expect
Geno Smith: 150+ 86.5%
Next is Malik Willis: 125+ at 79.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Geno Smith: 150+86.5%Not listed86.5%84¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Geno Smith: 150+86.5%Kalshi 86.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Geno Smith: 150+
86.5%
Not listed
86.5%
84¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Geno Smith: 150+
86.5%
Kalshi 86.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 150+
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Malik Willis: 125+79.5%Not listed79.5%73¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 3 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Malik Willis: 125+79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Malik Willis: 125+
79.5%
Not listed
79.5%
73¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Malik Willis: 125+
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 125+
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Geno Smith: 175+75%Not listed75%71¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Geno Smith: 175+75%Kalshi 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Geno Smith: 175+
75%
Not listed
75%
71¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Geno Smith: 175+
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 175+
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Malik Willis: 150+69.5%Not listed69.5%67¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 3 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Malik Willis: 150+69.5%Kalshi 69.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Malik Willis: 150+
69.5%
Not listed
69.5%
67¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Malik Willis: 150+
69.5%
Kalshi 69.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 150+
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Geno Smith: 200+63.5%Not listed63.5%61¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 3 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Geno Smith: 200+63.5%Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Geno Smith: 200+
63.5%
Not listed
63.5%
61¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Geno Smith: 200+
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 200+
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Malik Willis: 175+53%Not listed53%50¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Malik Willis: 175+53%Kalshi 53%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Malik Willis: 175+
53%
Not listed
53%
50¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Malik Willis: 175+
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 175+
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Inter Miami CF52.5%52.5%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Inter Miami CF52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
52.5%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inter Miami CF
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Geno Smith: 225+47%Not listed47%45¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 3 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Geno Smith: 225+47%Kalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Geno Smith: 225+
47%
Not listed
47%
45¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Geno Smith: 225+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 225+
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Malik Willis: 200+39%Not listed39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Malik Willis: 200+39%Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Malik Willis: 200+
39%
Not listed
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Malik Willis: 200+
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 200+
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Geno Smith: 250+35%Not listed35%30¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Geno Smith: 250+35%Kalshi 35%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Geno Smith: 250+
35%
Not listed
35%
30¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Geno Smith: 250+
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 250+
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $3
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
New York Red Bulls26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)New York Red Bulls26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New York Red Bulls
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $165
Malik Willis: 225+24%Not listed24%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Malik Willis: 225+24%Kalshi 24%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Malik Willis: 225+
24%
Not listed
24%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Malik Willis: 225+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 225+
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $32
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $278
Geno Smith: 275+19.5%Not listed19.5%13¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 3 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Geno Smith: 275+19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Geno Smith: 275+
19.5%
Not listed
19.5%
13¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Geno Smith: 275+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 275+
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Malik Willis: 250+14%Not listed14%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Malik Willis: 250+14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Malik Willis: 250+
14%
Not listed
14%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Malik Willis: 250+
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 250+
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Geno Smith: 300+11%Not listed11%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Geno Smith: 300+11%Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Geno Smith: 300+
11%
Not listed
11%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Geno Smith: 300+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 300+
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Malik Willis: 275+10%Not listed10%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Malik Willis: 275+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Malik Willis: 275+
10%
Not listed
10%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Malik Willis: 275+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 275+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $64
Geno Smith: 325+7.5%Not listed7.5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Geno Smith: 325+7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Geno Smith: 325+
7.5%
Not listed
7.5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Geno Smith: 325+
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 325+
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Geno Smith: 350+5%Not listed5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Geno Smith: 350+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Geno Smith: 350+
5%
Not listed
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Geno Smith: 350+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 350+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $111
Malik Willis: 300+5%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Malik Willis: 300+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Willis: 300+
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Willis: 300+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 300+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $47
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Geno Smith: 150+
- Malik Willis: 125+
- Geno Smith: 175+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Geno Smith: 150+ for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miami vs New York J: Passing Yards". Geno Smith: 150+ leads at 86.5%. Next is Malik Willis: 125+ at 79.5%. $4K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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