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What the markets expect
Garrett Wilson: 3+ 89.5%
Next is Malik Washington: 2+ at 86%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Garrett Wilson: 3+89.5%Not listed89.5%87¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 3 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Garrett Wilson: 3+89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Garrett Wilson: 3+
89.5%
Not listed
89.5%
87¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Garrett Wilson: 3+
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 3+
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Malik Washington: 2+86%Not listed86%79¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 3 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Malik Washington: 2+86%Kalshi 86%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Malik Washington: 2+
86%
Not listed
86%
79¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Malik Washington: 2+
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 2+
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Garrett Wilson: 4+78%Not listed78%76¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Garrett Wilson: 4+78%Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Garrett Wilson: 4+
78%
Not listed
78%
76¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Garrett Wilson: 4+
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 4+
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Malik Washington: 3+74%Not listed74%69¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Malik Washington: 3+74%Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Malik Washington: 3+
74%
Not listed
74%
69¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Malik Washington: 3+
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 3+
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Mason Taylor: 2+74%Not listed74%67¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 3 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Mason Taylor: 2+74%Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Mason Taylor: 2+
74%
Not listed
74%
67¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Mason Taylor: 2+
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 2+
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 2+67.5%Not listed67.5%65¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 3 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Kenyon Sadiq: 2+67.5%Kalshi 67.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 2+
67.5%
Not listed
67.5%
65¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 2+
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 2+
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Greg Dulcich: 2+64.5%Not listed64.5%59¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 3 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Greg Dulcich: 2+64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Greg Dulcich: 2+
64.5%
Not listed
64.5%
59¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Greg Dulcich: 2+
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 2+
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Garrett Wilson: 5+63.5%Not listed63.5%62¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 3 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Garrett Wilson: 5+63.5%Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Garrett Wilson: 5+
63.5%
Not listed
63.5%
62¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Garrett Wilson: 5+
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 5+
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Malik Washington: 4+58%Not listed58%55¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Malik Washington: 4+58%Kalshi 58%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Malik Washington: 4+
58%
Not listed
58%
55¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Malik Washington: 4+
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 4+
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Mason Taylor: 3+54%Not listed54%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 3 min ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Mason Taylor: 3+54%Kalshi 54%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Mason Taylor: 3+
54%
Not listed
54%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Mason Taylor: 3+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 3+
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 41 more outcomesHide 41 outcomes
Inter Miami CF52.5%52.5%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Inter Miami CF52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
52.5%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inter Miami CF
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Chris Bell: 2+49.5%Not listed49.5%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Chris Bell: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chris Bell: 2+
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chris Bell: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Garrett Wilson: 6+48.5%Not listed48.5%47¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 3 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Garrett Wilson: 6+48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Garrett Wilson: 6+
48.5%
Not listed
48.5%
47¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Garrett Wilson: 6+
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 6+
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Ollie Gordon II: 2+47%Not listed47%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 3 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Ollie Gordon II: 2+47%Kalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Ollie Gordon II: 2+
47%
Not listed
47%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Ollie Gordon II: 2+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 2+
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 3+42.5%Not listed42.5%41¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Kenyon Sadiq: 3+42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 3+
42.5%
Not listed
42.5%
41¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 3+
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 3+
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Greg Dulcich: 3+41%Not listed41%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Greg Dulcich: 3+41%Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Greg Dulcich: 3+
41%
Not listed
41%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Greg Dulcich: 3+
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 3+
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Malik Washington: 5+40%Not listed40%38¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Malik Washington: 5+40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Malik Washington: 5+
40%
Not listed
40%
38¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Malik Washington: 5+
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 5+
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Garrett Wilson: 7+33.5%Not listed33.5%32¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Garrett Wilson: 7+33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Garrett Wilson: 7+
33.5%
Not listed
33.5%
32¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Garrett Wilson: 7+
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 7+
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Mason Taylor: 4+30.5%Not listed30.5%25¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3 min ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Mason Taylor: 4+30.5%Kalshi 30.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Mason Taylor: 4+
30.5%
Not listed
30.5%
25¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Mason Taylor: 4+
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 4+
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
New York Red Bulls26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)New York Red Bulls26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New York Red Bulls
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $165
Chris Bell: 3+24.5%Not listed24.5%22¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Chris Bell: 3+24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Chris Bell: 3+
24.5%
Not listed
24.5%
22¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Chris Bell: 3+
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell: 3+
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 4+22.5%Not listed22.5%20¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Kenyon Sadiq: 4+22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 4+
22.5%
Not listed
22.5%
20¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 4+
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 4+
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Malik Washington: 6+22.5%Not listed22.5%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Malik Washington: 6+22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Malik Washington: 6+
22.5%
Not listed
22.5%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Malik Washington: 6+
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 6+
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Ollie Gordon II: 3+22.5%Not listed22.5%20¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ollie Gordon II: 3+22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ollie Gordon II: 3+
22.5%
Not listed
22.5%
20¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ollie Gordon II: 3+
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 3+
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $278
Garrett Wilson: 8+20.5%Not listed20.5%18¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Garrett Wilson: 8+20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Garrett Wilson: 8+
20.5%
Not listed
20.5%
18¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Garrett Wilson: 8+
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 8+
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Greg Dulcich: 4+19.5%Not listed19.5%15¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Greg Dulcich: 4+19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Greg Dulcich: 4+
19.5%
Not listed
19.5%
15¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Greg Dulcich: 4+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 4+
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Mason Taylor: 5+17.5%Not listed17.5%13¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 3 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Mason Taylor: 5+17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Mason Taylor: 5+
17.5%
Not listed
17.5%
13¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Mason Taylor: 5+
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 5+
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Garrett Wilson: 9+12%Not listed12%9¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Garrett Wilson: 9+12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Garrett Wilson: 9+
12%
Not listed
12%
9¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Garrett Wilson: 9+
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 9+
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Malik Washington: 7+11.5%Not listed11.5%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Malik Washington: 7+11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Malik Washington: 7+
11.5%
Not listed
11.5%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Malik Washington: 7+
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 7+
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Chris Bell: 4+10.5%Not listed10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Chris Bell: 4+10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Chris Bell: 4+
10.5%
Not listed
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Chris Bell: 4+
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell: 4+
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 5+10%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Kenyon Sadiq: 5+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 5+
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 5+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 5+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Ollie Gordon II: 4+9%Not listed9%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Ollie Gordon II: 4+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ollie Gordon II: 4+
9%
Not listed
9%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ollie Gordon II: 4+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 4+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Greg Dulcich: 5+8%Not listed8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Greg Dulcich: 5+8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Dulcich: 5+
8%
Not listed
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Dulcich: 5+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 5+
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Mason Taylor: 6+7.5%Not listed7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Mason Taylor: 6+7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Mason Taylor: 6+
7.5%
Not listed
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Mason Taylor: 6+
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 6+
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Garrett Wilson: 10+7%Not listed7%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Garrett Wilson: 10+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Garrett Wilson: 10+
7%
Not listed
7%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Garrett Wilson: 10+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 10+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Malik Washington: 8+6.5%Not listed6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Malik Washington: 8+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Malik Washington: 8+
6.5%
Not listed
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Malik Washington: 8+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 8+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 6+5%Not listed5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Kenyon Sadiq: 6+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 6+
5%
Not listed
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 6+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 6+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Chris Bell: 5+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Chris Bell: 5+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chris Bell: 5+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Chris Bell: 5+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell: 5+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Garrett Wilson: 11+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Garrett Wilson: 11+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Garrett Wilson: 11+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Garrett Wilson: 11+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 11+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Greg Dulcich: 6+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Greg Dulcich: 6+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Greg Dulcich: 6+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Greg Dulcich: 6+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 6+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Washington: 9+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Malik Washington: 9+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Washington: 9+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Washington: 9+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 9+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Mason Taylor: 7+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Mason Taylor: 7+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mason Taylor: 7+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mason Taylor: 7+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 7+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Ollie Gordon II: 5+4.5%Not listed4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ollie Gordon II: 5+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ollie Gordon II: 5+
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ollie Gordon II: 5+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 5+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Chris Bell: 6+3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Chris Bell: 6+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chris Bell: 6+
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chris Bell: 6+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Bell: 6+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Greg Dulcich: 7+3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Greg Dulcich: 7+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Greg Dulcich: 7+
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Greg Dulcich: 7+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Dulcich: 7+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 7+3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kenyon Sadiq: 7+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 7+
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kenyon Sadiq: 7+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyon Sadiq: 7+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Mason Taylor: 8+3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Mason Taylor: 8+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mason Taylor: 8+
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mason Taylor: 8+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Taylor: 8+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Garrett Wilson: 12+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Garrett Wilson: 12+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Garrett Wilson: 12+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Garrett Wilson: 12+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garrett Wilson: 12+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Malik Washington: 10+2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Malik Washington: 10+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Malik Washington: 10+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Malik Washington: 10+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Washington: 10+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ollie Gordon II: 6+2.5%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ollie Gordon II: 6+2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ollie Gordon II: 6+
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ollie Gordon II: 6+
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 6+
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Garrett Wilson: 3+
- Malik Washington: 2+
- Garrett Wilson: 4+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Garrett Wilson: 3+ for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miami vs New York J: Receptions". Garrett Wilson: 3+ leads at 89.5%. Next is Malik Washington: 2+ at 86%. $3K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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