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What the markets expect
Malik Willis: 10+ 85%
Next is Ollie Gordon II: 25+ at 84%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Malik Willis: 10+85%Not listed85%85¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 57s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Malik Willis: 10+85%Kalshi 85%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Malik Willis: 10+
85%
Not listed
85%
85¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Malik Willis: 10+
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 10+
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $13
Ollie Gordon II: 25+84%Not listed84%82¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 57s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Ollie Gordon II: 25+84%Kalshi 84%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Ollie Gordon II: 25+
84%
Not listed
84%
82¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Ollie Gordon II: 25+
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 25+
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Ollie Gordon II: 30+80%Not listed80%77¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 57s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Ollie Gordon II: 30+80%Kalshi 80%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ollie Gordon II: 30+
80%
Not listed
80%
77¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ollie Gordon II: 30+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 30+
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Malik Willis: 15+77%Not listed77%77¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 57s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Malik Willis: 15+77%Kalshi 77%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Malik Willis: 15+
77%
Not listed
77%
77¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Malik Willis: 15+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 15+
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $1
Malik Willis: 20+70.5%Not listed70.5%68¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 57s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Malik Willis: 20+70.5%Kalshi 70.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Malik Willis: 20+
70.5%
Not listed
70.5%
68¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Malik Willis: 20+
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 20+
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Ollie Gordon II: 40+65%Not listed65%64¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 57s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Ollie Gordon II: 40+65%Kalshi 65%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Ollie Gordon II: 40+
65%
Not listed
65%
64¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Ollie Gordon II: 40+
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 40+
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $8
Malik Willis: 25+60.5%Not listed60.5%58¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 57s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Malik Willis: 25+60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Malik Willis: 25+
60.5%
Not listed
60.5%
58¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Malik Willis: 25+
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 25+
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Ollie Gordon II: 50+54%Not listed54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 57s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Ollie Gordon II: 50+54%Kalshi 54%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ollie Gordon II: 50+
54%
Not listed
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ollie Gordon II: 50+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 50+
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $29K
Malik Willis: 30+53%Not listed53%50¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 57s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Malik Willis: 30+53%Kalshi 53%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Malik Willis: 30+
53%
Not listed
53%
50¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Malik Willis: 30+
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 30+
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $125
Inter Miami CF52.5%52.5%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Inter Miami CF52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
52.5%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Inter Miami CF
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Inter Miami CF
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Ollie Gordon II: 60+39%Not listed39%39¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 57s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Ollie Gordon II: 60+39%Kalshi 39%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Ollie Gordon II: 60+
39%
Not listed
39%
39¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Ollie Gordon II: 60+
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 60+
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $3K
Geno Smith: 10+38%Not listed38%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 57s ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Geno Smith: 10+38%Kalshi 38%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Geno Smith: 10+
38%
Not listed
38%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Geno Smith: 10+
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 10+
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $276
Malik Willis: 40+33.5%Not listed33.5%32¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 57s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Malik Willis: 40+33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Malik Willis: 40+
33.5%
Not listed
33.5%
32¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Malik Willis: 40+
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 40+
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Ollie Gordon II: 70+29.5%Not listed29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 57s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Ollie Gordon II: 70+29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Ollie Gordon II: 70+
29.5%
Not listed
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Ollie Gordon II: 70+
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 70+
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
New York Red Bulls26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)New York Red Bulls26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
New York Red Bulls
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New York Red Bulls
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $165
Geno Smith: 15+25%Not listed25%23¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 57s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Geno Smith: 15+25%Kalshi 25%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Geno Smith: 15+
25%
Not listed
25%
23¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Geno Smith: 15+
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 15+
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Malik Willis: 50+23%Not listed23%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 57s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Malik Willis: 50+23%Kalshi 23%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Malik Willis: 50+
23%
Not listed
23%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Malik Willis: 50+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 50+
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $99
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF)
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $278
Ollie Gordon II: 80+21%Not listed21%19¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 57s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Ollie Gordon II: 80+21%Kalshi 21%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Ollie Gordon II: 80+
21%
Not listed
21%
19¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Ollie Gordon II: 80+
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 80+
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Geno Smith: 20+16.5%Not listed16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 57s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Geno Smith: 20+16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Geno Smith: 20+
16.5%
Not listed
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Geno Smith: 20+
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 20+
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Ollie Gordon II: 90+14%Not listed14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 57s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Ollie Gordon II: 90+14%Kalshi 14%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ollie Gordon II: 90+
14%
Not listed
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Ollie Gordon II: 90+
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 90+
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Malik Willis: 60+12.5%Not listed12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 57s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Malik Willis: 60+12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Malik Willis: 60+
12.5%
Not listed
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Malik Willis: 60+
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 60+
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Geno Smith: 25+10.5%Not listed10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 57s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Geno Smith: 25+10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Geno Smith: 25+
10.5%
Not listed
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Geno Smith: 25+
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 25+
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Ollie Gordon II: 100+10%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 57s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Ollie Gordon II: 100+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ollie Gordon II: 100+
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ollie Gordon II: 100+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 100+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $15
Malik Willis: 70+9%Not listed9%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 57s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Malik Willis: 70+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Malik Willis: 70+
9%
Not listed
9%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Malik Willis: 70+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 70+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $47
Geno Smith: 30+7%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 57s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Geno Smith: 30+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Geno Smith: 30+
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Geno Smith: 30+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 30+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Malik Willis: 80+7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 57s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Malik Willis: 80+7%Kalshi 7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Willis: 80+
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malik Willis: 80+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis: 80+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $56
Ollie Gordon II: 110+6.5%Not listed6.5%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 57s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ollie Gordon II: 110+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ollie Gordon II: 110+
6.5%
Not listed
6.5%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ollie Gordon II: 110+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 110+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Geno Smith: 40+4%Not listed4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 57s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Geno Smith: 40+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Geno Smith: 40+
4%
Not listed
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Geno Smith: 40+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith: 40+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Ollie Gordon II: 120+4%Not listed4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 57s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ollie Gordon II: 120+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ollie Gordon II: 120+
4%
Not listed
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 57s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ollie Gordon II: 120+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ollie Gordon II: 120+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Malik Willis: 10+
- Ollie Gordon II: 25+
- Ollie Gordon II: 30+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Malik Willis: 10+ for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Miami vs New York J: Rushing Yards". Malik Willis: 10+ leads at 85%. Next is Ollie Gordon II: 25+ at 84%. $34K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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