The Prediction Markets

Michigan St. vs UCLA: 1st Half Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points 74.5%

Next is UCLA wins by over 3.5 points at 67%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 4.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 6.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 7.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 9.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$342
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 10.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 13.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$934
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 14.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 17.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 20.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA wins by over 23.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St. wins by over 14.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St. wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
  • UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
  • UCLA wins by over 4.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan St. vs UCLA: 1st Half Spread". UCLA wins by over 2.5 points leads at 74.5%. Next is UCLA wins by over 3.5 points at 67%. $2K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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