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What the markets expect
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points 72.5%
Next is Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points at 64%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points72.5%72.5%70¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 1 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points72.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
72.5%
72.5%
70¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points64%64%60¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 1 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points64%Kalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
64%
64%
60¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points59%59%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 1 min ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points59%Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
59%
59%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points49%49%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points42%42%41¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 1 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
42%
42%
41¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points33%33%29¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points
33%
33%
29¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points26.5%26.5%23¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
23¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points20%20%17¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points20%Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points
20%
20%
17¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points19.5%19.5%15¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
15¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points15%15%12¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points
15%
15%
12¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 points12.5%12.5%8¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
8¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points11.5%11.5%7¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
7¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 points11%11%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 points
11%
11%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $11
Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 points9%9%5¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 points
9%
9%
5¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points8.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 points6.5%6.5%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 8.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points6.5%6.5%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points
6.5%
6.5%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Milwaukee wins by over 10.5 points5.5%5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Milwaukee wins by over 10.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee wins by over 10.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee wins by over 10.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points5.5%5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
- Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points
- Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Milwaukee vs Philadelphia: 1st Half Spread". Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points leads at 72.5%. Next is Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points at 64%. $2K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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