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What the markets expect
Over 202.5 points 96%
Next is Over 204.5 points at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 202.5 points96%96%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 2 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 202.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 202.5 points
96%
96%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 202.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 202.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $625
Over 204.5 points94%94%93¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 2 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 204.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 204.5 points
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 204.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 204.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $300
Over 206.5 points94%94%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 206.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 206.5 points
94%
94%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 206.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 206.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $6
Over 208.5 points92.5%92.5%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 208.5 points92.5%Kalshi 92.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 208.5 points
92.5%
92.5%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 208.5 points
92.5%
Kalshi 92.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 208.5 points
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 210.5 points89%89%89¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 2 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 210.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 210.5 points
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 210.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 210.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $35
Over 212.5 points88.5%88.5%87¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 212.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 212.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
87¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 212.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 212.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 214.5 points85.5%85.5%84¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 2 min ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 214.5 points85.5%Kalshi 85.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 214.5 points
85.5%
85.5%
84¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 214.5 points
85.5%
Kalshi 85.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Over 216.5 points82%82%81¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 2 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 216.5 points82%Kalshi 82%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 216.5 points
82%
82%
81¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 216.5 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Over 218.5 points80.5%80.5%78¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 2 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 218.5 points80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 218.5 points
80.5%
80.5%
78¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 218.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Over 220.5 points77%77%75¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 2 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 220.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 220.5 points
77%
77%
75¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 220.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 222.5 points71%71%71¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 2 min ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Over 222.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 222.5 points
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 222.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $45
Over 224.5 points70.5%70.5%69¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 2 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Over 224.5 points70.5%Kalshi 70.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 224.5 points
70.5%
70.5%
69¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Over 224.5 points
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Over 226.5 points66.5%66.5%65¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 2 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Over 226.5 points66.5%Kalshi 66.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 226.5 points
66.5%
66.5%
65¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 226.5 points
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Over 228.5 points61%61%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 2 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 228.5 points61%Kalshi 61%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 228.5 points
61%
61%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 228.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $8
Over 230.5 points57%57%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 2 min ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Over 230.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 230.5 points
57%
57%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 230.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $96
Over 232.5 points52%52%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Over 232.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Over 232.5 points
52%
52%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Over 232.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 234.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 2 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 234.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 234.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 234.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $524
Over 236.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 2 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 236.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 236.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 236.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Over 238.5 points39%39%39¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 2 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Over 238.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 238.5 points
39%
39%
39¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 238.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Over 240.5 points36%36%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 2 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 240.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 240.5 points
36%
36%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 240.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Over 242.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 2 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 242.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 242.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 242.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Over 244.5 points28%28%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 244.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 244.5 points
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 244.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Over 246.5 points26%26%25¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 2 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 246.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 246.5 points
26%
26%
25¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 246.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Over 248.5 points22%22%20¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 2 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 248.5 points22%Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 248.5 points
22%
22%
20¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 248.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 250.5 points19%19%17¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 2 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Over 250.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 250.5 points
19%
19%
17¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Over 250.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Over 252.5 points16%16%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 2 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 252.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 252.5 points
16%
16%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 252.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 254.5 points13.5%13.5%11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 2 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 254.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 254.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
11¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 254.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 256.5 points10.5%10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 256.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 256.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 256.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Over 258.5 points6%6%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 258.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 258.5 points
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 258.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 202.5 points
- Over 204.5 points
- Over 206.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Milwaukee vs Philadelphia: Total Points". Over 202.5 points leads at 96%. Next is Over 204.5 points at 94%. $4K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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