The Prediction Markets

Minnesota: Team Specials

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$17K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game 43%

Next is Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game at 23%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota allow 0 points in a single game
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota allow 0 points in a single game
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Kalshi
J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Jefferson records 3+ touchdowns in a single game
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson records 3+ touchdowns in a single game
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota records 400+ passing yards in a single game
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota records 400+ passing yards in a single game
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$890
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota records 8+ sacks in a single game
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota records 8+ sacks in a single game
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game
  • Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game
  • Minnesota allow 0 points in a single game

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota: Team Specials". Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game leads at 43%. Next is Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game at 23%. $17K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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